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Month: December 2021

The zombies keep shambling

“You can’t keep a good homicidal maniac down.” It was Roger Ebert, I think, who first said that of the unstoppable slashers in unstoppable slasher movie sequels. They just keep coming. Like “zombie lies,” that way. Paul Krugman first encountered that term in regard to lies circulating about Canadian heath care.

The voter fraud fraud is just as unstoppable. Republicans have worked assiduously for decades to ensure that. Facts don’t phase it. The most secure election in American history can’t stop it. Proving “dead voters” aren’t dead isn’t a kill shot. Republicans keep spinning. Real Election Integrity™ advocates keep trying:

An Associated Press review of every potential case of voter fraud in the six battleground states disputed by former President Donald Trump has found fewer than 475 — a number that would have made no difference in the 2020 presidential election.

Democrat Joe Biden won Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin and their 79 Electoral College votes by a combined 311,257 votes out of 25.5 million ballots cast for president. The disputed ballots represent just 0.15% of his victory margin in those states.

Please note the word potential. It appears over 15 times in the article and graphics. Potential voter fraud is not actual fraud or a provable crime. But it will be spun that way by voter fraud fraudsters.

AP’s review found the potential cases of fraud ran the gamut: Some were attributed to administrative error or voter confusion while others were being examined as intentional attempts to commit fraud.

The vast majority will be dismissed as unprovable as deliberate attempts to commit a crime. Others will prove to be the kinds of baseless allegations thrown around by Donald Trump, Rudy Giuliani and Team Kraken. Those, AP reports, are based “largely upon an incomplete assessment of voter registration records and lack of information concerning the processes by which these records are compiled and maintained.” Translation: Allegations made by people who know shit about election processes. Ask Rudy. He has a 3-ring binder full of those.

At The Atlantic, Vann R. Newkirk II interviews Crystal Mason. Convicted of voter fraud for improperly casting a provisional ballot that was never counted, Mason faces five years in prison. Texas made an example of her:

The story of Mason, a Black woman, illuminates the extraordinary efforts the Republican Party has made to demonstrate that fraud is being committed by minority voters on a massive scale. That false notion is now an article of faith among tens of millions of Americans. It has become an excuse to enact laws that make voting harder for everyone, but especially for voters of color, voters who are poor, voters who are old, and voters who were not born in the United States.

Mason was on supervised release from jail and thought she was eligible to vote again. She was not.

Most everyone knows what’s going on here. The way Fox News anchors knew privately the Jan. 6 insurrection was Trump supporters Trump himself could call off while in public keeping up the pretense the rioters were Black Lives Matter or antifa activists.

Fear of voter fraud, or at least the pretense of fear, has been a centerpiece of conservative objections to the expansion of voting rights going back, in the modern era, to the Voting Rights Act of 1965. Taking steps to curb alleged illegal voting tends to boost Republican electoral fortunes by disenfranchising people of color.

Newkirk adds:

It must be underscored: There is no evidence that illegal voting of any kind occurs at a level capable of influencing elections. Nor is there evidence that the scattered violations that do take place have been increasing in frequency or severity. Common kinds of election violations include local candidates fudging signatures to get on the ballot, partisans politicking too close to polling places, and people accidentally voting at the polls after forgetting that they had already mailed in a ballot—a glitch easily corrected by administrative procedures that already exist.

Indeed, procedures and laws are already in place to catch such actions and to punish them if necessary. Just as AP found.

Yes, Mason signed an affidavit affirming she was eligible to vote, but like most of us she simply read to make sure her name and address was correct. And remember, she was voting in a presidential election in Texas (emphasis mine):

“They said I tried to circumvent the system,” Mason said. “And for what? For a sticker?” Alison Grinter Allen, her attorney, echoed the point: “Why would you risk two to 20 years in the penitentiary in order to shout your opinion into the wind, basically?”

Just to add a single extra vote to her preferred candidate’s total in a state where it wouldn’t matter. Prosecutors did not even attempt to prove criminal motive. Mason got five years.

In 2018, Russ Casey, a Republican judge in Tarrant County, pleaded guilty to falsifying signatures in order to get his name on the ballot. Casey held a position of public trust, his actions were egregious, and he admitted that the accusations were true. In a plea deal, he received five years’ probation, with no prison time.

Guess his color.

It’s hard to keep a good zombie lie down. Making examples of the rare cases ensures a steady drip of examples people vaguely remember when it comes time to pass ever stricter procedures for voting. The ACLU observed of Mason’s case, “If you start to criminalize people who make mistakes, [who think] they’re eligible and then find out they’re not, then that guts the provisional-balloting system—turns it into a trap.”

It’s a vicious cycle—which is exactly the point. First gin up fear about fraud, then use that fear to aggressively prosecute voting infractions, then use those prosecutions to create stricter laws, then use the stricter laws to induce more examples of fraud, then use those examples to gin up even more fear. The potential impact on turnout is bad enough. But the cumulative effect of restrictive laws corrodes the democratic process itself.

Which is exactly the point of this decades-long, post-Voting Rights Act campaign against voting. Gin up fear. Demonize the Other:

Professional voter fraud frighteners like Hans von Spakovsky and James O’Keefe expect Real Americans™ to believe that while they’re having their Election Day coffee, “Others” are headed to the polls not to do their patriotic and civic duty, no, but to participate in a nationwide crime spree unparalleled in the annals of American criminology.

The Frighteners expect you to believe that thousands, tens of thousands, maybe hundreds of thousands of these Others – you know who they mean – go to the polls on Election Day determined instead to commit felonies punishable by up to 5 years in prison and a $10,000 fine for each offense by impersonating dead or fictitious voters. With nothing, nothing to stop them.

Take the case of 950 dead people voting in South Carolina in 2010. Um, no. Didn’t happen:

As was suspected from the beginning, the fevered stories of “zombie voters” turned out to be fantasy. This week, state elections officials reviewed 207 of the supposed 950 cases of dead people voting, and couldn’t confirm fraud in any of them. 106 stemmed from clerical errors at the polls, and another 56 involved bad data — the usual culprits when claims of dead voters have surfaced in the past.

The point of these stories is to get the front-page headline people will remember. By the time the story is debunked, it shows up on page five where no one sees it. The zombies keep shambling. Unfounded rumors keep circulating. Voter suppression legislation keeps passing.

What are Democrats going to do about it? Only they can.


Omicron update

The following recap of what we currently know about the new variant from Eric Topol is not exactly good news but it isn’t bad news either. One thing is clear — everyone needs to get boosted asap. This thing is moving fast. And while it doesn’t appear to cause as severe infections in vaccinated people it will ravage the unvaccinated community. A nightmare winter awaits:

Here’s a quick timeline of the progress for what has been reported in just over 2 weeks since this new variant surfaced. To give you a sense of the remarkable velocity and collaborative capacity of the international science community effort, there have already been 10 lab neutralizations studies preprint published. They each require a lot of work culturing virus or pseudovirus and testing blood samples from people, either vaccinated or with prior Covid, against Omicron and other SARS-CoV-2 variants. All predicted the widely anticipated immune escape issues for Omicron with varying magnitude.

The big step beyond these lab studies was to get the first readout on vaccine effectiveness vs Omicron from the UK, summarized for Pfizer below vs symptomatic infection. For Delta, the prior >10 studies showed waning down to about 60% after 5 months, but restored from the booster to 95% by the large randomized (>10,000 participants) trial of 3 shots vs 2 shots + placebo, and multiple vaccine effectiveness studies from Israel and the UK.

On the other hand, with Omicron, based on a limited number of UK cases the 2 dose protection dropped down to 34% and boosted up to 75%. That is a big decline from Delta for these point estimates, that would be potentially associated with about a 5-fold higher breakthrough infection rate after a booster. Added to this decline is the uncertainty as to how long it will last for either variant.

This graph below from the Financial Times shows the statistically difference with 95% confidence intervals before and after the third dose of Pfizer vaccine for Delta versus Omicron regarding protection against symptomatic infections. New data from South Africa indicate that the 2-dose Pfizer vaccine protection against severe Covid illness dropped from 93% for Delta to 70% for Omicron. There aren’t any data available yet for 3-dose vaccination vs severe Covid from Omicron.

These data points have come along with so much mixed news, as I’ve summarized in the Table below. From the same UK report we know the household contact transmission rate is about 3-fold increased compared with Delta. The rapid growth of Omicron is especially alarming, with a doubling rate between 2-3 days in multiple countries where it has been tracked (South Africa, UK, Germany, Denmark, Norway, Belgium US). This exponential rise could take us to levels of even 1 million cases per day in the United States, which previously would have been considered an unthinkable projection.

As I’ve written about for Omicron previously, we have the mitigation tools to defend against its transmission but have not been using them. California just re-instituted a state mask mandate which leverages that potential, a factor that had lapsed even as we are going through the second US Delta surge.

One of the issues that has been controversial is whether people with confirmed prior Covid need to get vaccinated. Overall, the data strongly support the benefit of at least 1 shot for generating “hybrid immunity,” that is the immune response to the full virus from an infection and the spike protein via the vaccine. But new data below show for Omicron there is very little neutralization antibody activity present in people who have had Covid infections from Alpha, Beta or Delta variants. Samples from people with infections from Alpha (B.1.1.7,) Beta (B.1.351), and Delta (B.1.617.2) showed minimal capacity to neutralize Omicron, and this was replicate by another study . The findings are in keeping with the high rate of reinfection for Omicron in people for prior Covid that was observed in South Africa (>2.4 X prior variants) and the UK (3-8 X Delta).

These 2 properties of Omicron—its high level of immune evasion and increased contagiousness—will compete with Delta and may well displace it as the global dominant strain. For example, in Denmark, the displacement of Omicron for Delta as dominant (>50% of cases) is expected to occur this week, and will inevitably be taking place in many other regions. Trevor Bedford has a very good thread on the potential of co-dominance of Delta and Omicron, because they have different features that may not allow one to fully dominate, Delta (relying on hits hyper-contagiousness) vs Omicron (combining considerable immune escape plus some increased contagiousness). No matter how this ultimately plays out, with the very high level of Delta circulating now in the United States, we will be dealing with both versions of the virus for some time ahead. Further, with the jump in Omicron’s immune evasion compared with Delta (and all prior variants), the potential for yet another new variant that even more effectively evades our immunity looms.

Now let me get to the critical issue of the mild severity that has been associated with Omicron to date. This is true, that where Omicron has been gaining steam, the proportion of hospitalizations is lower than expected, which is great. However, the main reason for this consistent observation is not the virus being less virulent, but the immunity wall that has been built in people throughout the 2 years of the pandemic. Beyond mitigation factors, there’s infection-acquired immunity and 3 lines of defense simplistically depicted below.

Prior Covid or 2 shots, as reviewed above, do not provide much defense against Omicron. The 3rd shot helps, but the effectiveness is considerably lower than what we have seen with Delta and prior to the waning that occurs over time. Our “last line of defense” is our T cell memory, which is induced by prior Covid and vaccinations. It isn’t rapid, doesn’t protect against the initial infection in our upper airway, but, on demand, kicks in to keep it there. This layer appears to be the main reason why Omicron appears mild—so many people have a T cell strong defense vs Covid pneumonia and other organ involvement. We can infer this from how well people in Southern Africa did with Omicron, with a relatively low per cent of hospitalizations despite low vaccination rates. There was, however, a high burden of prior infections there, and T cells are much less affected by different variants than our neutralizing antibody response. So we really won’t know whether there is something intrinsic to Omicron’s virulence until we see how it impacts people over age 60 who never had Covid or been vaccinated. If these people do not experience severe Covid, then we’ll be hunting for a mechanism to explain it. But right now we don’t need to invoke anything about Omicron, per se, being a milder virus. “It’s the immunity, stupid,” is my simplest, reductionist way to convey the reason for what we’ve seen so far.

But make no mistake, Omicron has the potential to induce an enormous number of infections worldwide and even if severe Covid is one-tenth that of Delta or preceding variants, in absolute numbers it could lead to a major toll of hospitalizations or deaths.

Similarly, we should not underestimate Omicron’s impact on Long Covid. The propagation of a large number of infections, even among vaccinated individuals, for whom there is expected to be some ill-defined lower risk and severity of Long Covid, is a lingering and serious concern. That’s why the promise of Paxlovid, a pill that has shown marked efficacy to stop the virus in its tracks, may play out to be important in reducing transmission and further lowering the risk of chronic Covid morbidity. More about that new layer of defense soon.

There you have it. Nothing is definitive but it looks like it’s going to overtake Delta completely and we’re all going to be dependent on our t-cells to fight it off.

I don’t pretend to be an expert on this stuff but I do follow a lot of scientists these days and try to keep up. I’ll try to find these updates in my rounds around social media and post them here as they come up.

Happy Hollandaise everyone!


Yes, there WAS voter fraud

More Trump voters caught voting more than once:

Three Republican residents of the hedonistic Florida retirement haven The Villages have been charged with casting multiple votes in the 2020 presidential election, according to local reports. Click Orlando identified the three as Jay Ketcik, 63, Joan Halstead, 71, and John Rider, 61. Each of them have reportedly been charged with casting more than one ballot in the election—a crime that could land them in prison for as long as five years. Ketcik allegedly voted by mail in Florida while also casting an absentee ballot in Michigan; Halstead is accused of voting in-person in Florida and as an absentee in New York; and Rider allegedly voted in Florida and an unspecified out-of-state location. Ketcik and Halstead reportedly turned themselves in to police, while Rider is said to have been arrested at a Royal Caribbean cruise-ship terminal in Port Canaveral. Orlando states that it’s not known who the trio voted for, but all three are reportedly registered as Republicans in Florida, and Facebook pages that seem to belong to Ketcik and Halstead show posts supporting Donald Trump.

Lol. I love “the hedonistic Florida retirement haven.” Oh my.

I don’t know precisely how many Trumpers voted fraudulently in the 2020 election but of the handful of people arrested for doing it I don’t think any were Biden voters. It’s all Republicans. Of course it is. Projection is their game and shamelessness is their superpower.

Happy Hollandaise, everyone:


“See you January 6th!”

Note the date:

I can’t even with the “Fortunate Sion” being played at a Trump rally. But then, his other theme song is a gay pick-up song from the 70’s and “You can’t always get what you want” so I suppose it fits.

Just listen to this recitation:

Shocking, shocking stuff, even today. And that traitor is the frontrunner for the GOP nomination in 2024.

Marcy Wheeler makes the case that Trump could be prosecuted. It’s persuasive to me. But the politics argue otherwise. The threat of right wing violence that hangs over everything makes any such decision fraught with peril and as much as they should do it, it’s a dicey proposition. I think they should take the chance. But I doubt they will.

At least this stuff is going on the record. Maybe somehow the normal people will rebel and make sure they don’t get away with it by being rewarded with power.

Happy Hollandaise everyone.


The very best ambassador for decency

This man should win the Nobel Peace Prize:

Via DKos:

“I always said that wherever there is a fight so hungry people, people in need may eat, that we will be there,” the humanitarian said from a video filmed at Ronald Reagan Washington National Airport on Saturday. In a video the next day, Andrés spoke from Mayfield, “where the destruction is beyond anything you imagine.” 

“We have teams all over, scouting and bringing meals, and learning what the folks may need,” Andrés continued in the video. “Trying to provide meals to those who need it every single day.” In another video from Benton, the chef spoke to a resident named Marcella, “who jumped into action to support her community with meals after the tornados!” He called it, “the true @WCKitchen way … no meetings no planning, just cooking!”

Feeding people in a crisis is elemental. And a true sign if human decency. It makes you feel just a bit better about your fellow man to see something like his and it gives you hope that we aren’t completely lost as a society.

Jose Andrés is a saint. And he’s come up with something very interesting as a model for how to do this. He “partners” with locals to provide food and gives credit where it’s due. As he says, “no meetings, no planning, just cooking!” a pragmatic approach that I think a lot of NGOs could learn from.

Happy Hollandaise everyone! If you’d like to put a little something in the Christmas stocking, you can do so here:


A Little Holiday Cheer?

It’s hard to believe that this little old blog has been going since 2002, but it has. You would think that closely monitoring the last 19 years of American politics and culture would have landed us in the looney bin. From the post 9/11 horrors, to the Iraq war, social security privatization and the various corrupt practices of Dick “4th Branch” Cheney, to the financial catastrophe of 2008, “Hope and Change”, Obamacare, Benghazi, the Donald Trump nightmare, pandemic and insurrection, we’ve been here. And those are just some of the highlights. To say we live in interesting times is a massive understatement.


But we ain’t seen nothing yet. These next few years are going to tell us whether or not we will go the way of other modern authoritarian nations like Hungary or whether we will maintain some semblance of a liberal democracy. I honestly don’t know how it’s going to go. The election of Donald Trump still stuns me and everything that has happened since 2020 is a reminder of just how fragile our system really is.

Frankly, there are many aspects of it that I wish could just be scrapped — the Senate, for instance. But as James Fallows pointed out in his newsletter, we’re stuck with it. Nonetheless, there are are some things that can be done, such as eliminating the filibuster, anti-trust rules, term limits for federal judges, including the Supreme Court and a bigger House of Representatives all of which are worthy reforms. Voting rights are must haves or we’re sunk.

I wish I was optimistic about those things. Unfortunately, they seem to be a very heavy lift even though a majority of Americans would back such reforms. So we’ll have to see how our rickety system holds up over the next few years and if the people remain engaged enough to protect it.

Here at Hullabaloo we’ll keep covering all of this, including the failures of the media to do their jobs, and at least try to keep readers informed by synthesizing as much of the information that’s floating around out there as we can. If you share our alarm about the state of our nation and you would like to support this little outpost in the ever expanding independent media world, you can hit one of the buttons below or use the snail mail address on the left.

Thanks so much. And Happy Hollandaise everyone!


Holier Than Thou

Ah, yes, the religious exemption to the COVID vaccine:

The Supreme Court on Monday refused to block New York’s requirement that health care workers be vaccinated against the coronavirus even when they cite religious objections…

In his dissent on Monday in the case from New York, Justice Gorsuch wrote that the practical consequences of the court’s decision would be grave.

“Thousands of New York health care workers face the loss of their jobs and eligibility for unemployment benefits,” he wrote.

“These applicants are not ‘anti-vaxxers’ who object to all vaccines,” Justice Gorsuch added. “Instead, the applicants explain, they cannot receive a Covid-19 vaccine because their religion teaches them to oppose abortion in any form, and because each of the currently available vaccines has depended upon abortion-derived fetal cell lines in its production or testing.”

“The Free Exercise Clause protects not only the right to hold unpopular religious beliefs inwardly and secretly,” he wrote. “It protects the right to live out those beliefs publicly.”

This argument, as Gorsuch well knows, is utter nonsense and hypocrisy. He knows full well that these people don’t seriously “oppose abortion in any form.”That’s because if they really didn’t want to take medicines based on “abortion-derived fetal cell lines,” they would never take an immense number of prescription and over the counter medicines, including Tylenol and Tums. In fact, at least one organization, fed up with this ridiculous posturing, called their bluff:

A hospital system in Arkansas is requiring employees to confirm that they won’t use common medications — such as Tylenol, Tums, and Preparation H — to receive a religious exemption for the COVID-19 vaccine, according to Becker’s Hospital Review.

The Conway Regional Health System has required the flu shot annually as part of employment, but managers saw a spike in vaccine exemption requests for the COVID-19 vaccine.

“This was significantly disproportionate to what we’ve seen with the influenza vaccine,” Matt Troup, president and CEO of the health system, told Becker’s.

The majority of requests cited the use of fetal cell lines in the development of vaccines as part of the religious exemption. The practice uses cells grown in labs to test many new vaccines and drugs, including common antacids and cold medications.

“Thus, we provided a religious attestation form for those individuals requesting a religious exemption,” Troup said.

The hospital’s form includes a list of 30 common medications that used fetal cell lines during research and development. The list includes acetaminophen, albuterol, aspirin, ibuprofen, Tylenol, Pepto Bismol, Tums, Lipitor, Senokot, Motrin, Maalox, Ex-Lax, Benadryl, Sudafed, Preparation H, Claritin, Prilosec, and Zoloft.

Employees are asked to attest that they “truthfully acknowledge and affirm that my sincerely held religious belief is consistent and true” and that they won’t use the medications listed.

Health system administrators want to “educate staff who might have requested an exemption without understanding the full scope of how fetal cells are used in testing and development in common medicines,” Troup said.

Employees who don’t sign the form will be given a temporary exemption, he said. If they don’t receive a vaccine or full exemption, they can face disciplinary action, including termination.

COVID vaccine refusal “on religious grounds” is actually based on political extremism and ignorance fed by far right right propagandists. Period. And Gorsuch knows this very well.

Update: more here.


Wait until next time

The heat is turning up on anyone who left fingerprints on the failed Jan. 6th coup plot. By now, the guilty and the merely nervous are likely gaming out three or four options. Link arms in a wall of silence (or plead the Fifth) hoping to stymie investigators until Republicans can retake the House in 2022 and quash investigations; keep their heads down and hope to escape notice; cooperate with investigators and hope to escape accountability; or mount a second attempt at electing Donald Trump in 2024 through election-rigging in the states.

All of those are in play. Trump confidants Steve Bannon, Roger Stone, John Eastman, and Jeffrey Clark are going the wall-of-silence route. Former Trump chief of staff Mark Meadows is trying to both cooperate and not cooperate. Hundreds of unnamed witnesses have already provided depositions to the Jan. 6 committee led by Rep. Bennie Thompson (D-Miss.). The evidence the committee has already must be voluminous and potentially damning.

Matt Ford of The New Republic considers what is happening outside the Beltway where Trump World is running amuck with or without Trump:

The New York Times reported recently that pro-Trump loyalists who believe the election was stolen have been running for the thousands of local offices that keep the democratic machinery running, sometimes without facing challengers or serious opposition. A November survey by NPR found that only 36 percent of Republicans think that elections are fairly administered and that 38 percent of them won’t believe the 2024 election results if their preferred candidate loses. As a result, some of them appear to be taking that belief to its logical conclusion and taking over their local election boards.

Trump himself is also working to tilt election administration in key states in his favor. In Georgia, where Republican governor Brian Kemp and secretary of state Brad Raffensperger spurned Trump’s calls to block certification or “find votes” in 2020, the former president is backing primary challengers who supported his false voter-fraud claims last year. Axios reported last week that Trump is also trying to remake Michigan’s GOP legislative majority in his image while backing sympathetic candidates for secretary of state offices in key battleground states. If his preferred candidates prevail, it will significantly raise the likelihood that Trump and his allies will overturn or compromise the results next time.

There are more subtle perils that are no less insidious. Conservative politicians and pundits have slowly shifted from denouncing the January 6 rioters to describing them in more sympathetic terms. Some of them are sending unmistakable signals that political violence may be justified in the near-future to their supporters and listeners. And I noted last week that proposals to install Trump as House speaker if Republicans retake the chamber in next year’s midterms could have catastrophic implications for how the 2024 presidential election is conducted.

The PowerPoint plotters may have been crackpots, Dana Milbank acknowledges, but next time they might not be as slapdash in their planning. “They had the will, and possibly the means, to overthrow the 2020 election, but the would-be coup was attempted by clowns: Sidney “Kraken” Powell, the MyPillow guy, Rudy Giuliani of Four Seasons Total Landscaping, and now one Jovan Hutton Pulitzer,” Milbank writes. He describes Pulitzer’s adventures in failed inventions and archaeological crackpottery in several paragraphs, citing a supposed Roman sword found in Nova Scotia that Pulitzer asserts possesses “magical” magnetic properties.

Milbank cautions (Washington Post):

It’s tempting to dismiss charlatans such as Pulitzer, and Trump aides such as Meadows who relied on crackpots. But it’s little comfort that democracy was saved only by the bumbling of the coup plotters.

Next time, we may not be so lucky. And if you don’t think that’s a real threat, I’d like to sell you an ancient Roman sword I found near Halifax.

Stockton and Lawrence (and many other MAGAs) may have sincerely believed Trump’s “steal” bullshit, just as they believed his Russia hoax and Covid hoax claims, just as True the Vote and others believe hundreds of thousands of Them vote illegally, vote twice, and impersonate dead people every election. It’s crazy, but it’s not simply a strategem for all of them. But what Jan. 6 proved was that gathering thousands of pissed-off conspiracy theorists in one place is highly combustible. Throw on accelerant in the form of speeches exhorting them to “fight like hell” and add a spark — send them marching to the U.S. Capitol — and what did they think would happen?

Those who spent hours suggesting options for retaining power to Trump in the Oval Office or in the office of Mark Meadows knew exactly what might happen. They assembled the fuel, threw on accelerant, applied the spark, and fanned the flames. Trump sat watching it all on television, doing nothing.

Trump believes his own bullshit and is unbalanced besides. He has no qualms about turning the country into his own fiefdom, if he can. Next time, the direct plotters will be more methodical about it. And those whose political careers (and freedom) are in jeopardy today will help.


It’s all fun and games until….

Image via Jennifer Lynn Lawrence Twitter page.
  • Your friends storm the U.S. Capitol.
  • People die doing it.
  • Paramilitary dudes appear after you agree to talk.
  • You see Steve Bannon’s legal costs and know you’re not Steve Bannon.

A pair of Nevada-based MAGA activists who helped organize the Jan. 6 rally at The Ellipse feel they are in a tight spot and have agreed to cooperate with House investigators.

Politico profiled Dustin Stockton and fiancée Jennifer Lynn Lawrence in November, calling them the Bonnie and Clyde of the MAGA world. The two had organized multiple Donald Trump events since Trump’s election loss, reporting that “their rented bus rolled across America, firing up crowds with claims of fraud in the vote-counting.” The Ellipse event would be the capstone.

The Jan. 6 rally was, for them, the culmination of work they had been doing for the past decade — work that long predated the election conspiracy, or QAnon, or Donald Trump’s political career. They surfed the waves of a populist tide that grew larger than anyone imagined, one dedicated to tearing down the establishment of both parties and the government itself, replacing it with a government they saw as closer to the people, closer to God, closer to the Constitution.

Then came the Jan. 6 insurrection.

“To be clear, we had nothing to do with the planning and were not present at the attack on the Capital [sic],” Stockton texted to The Nevada Independent.

Rolling Stone reported Monday night (subscription required) that the couple has decided to fully cooperate with the House investigation into the events of Jan. 6. Facing subpoenas, the two are turning over documents. Mostly logistical, the messages include exchanges with staffers and members of Congress, including Instagram messages with Rep. Madison Cawthorn (R-NC).

“We’re turning it all over and we’ll let the cards fall where they may,” Stockton told Rolling Stone. The report adds that the two were sources for a report that members of Congress were involved in Trump’s efforts to reverse his election loss and retain power.

Capture via Jennifer Lynn Lawrence Twitter page.

They’ve seen the trouble in which Steve Bannon finds himself and know they do not have his resources for a legal defense.

Raw Story summarizes:

“They claimed one of these lawmakers, Rep. Paul Gosar (R-AZ), suggested the possibility Trump could get them a ‘blanket pardon’ in an unrelated ongoing investigation if they helped protest the election,” the report said.

Gosar has called the claims “categorically false and defamatory.” But Stockton and Lawrence may have proof. They also said that they were coordinating with Mark Meadows and warned him ahead of time that there could be potential violence.

“The people and the history books deserve a real account of what happened,” Stockton said.

“Violent sh*t happened,” Lawrence said. “We want to get to the bottom of that.”

The “unrelated ongoing investigation” involves the We Build the Wall fraud for which Bannon received a pardon from Trump.

Rolling Stone image via Emptywheel.

“They said that they grew scared when they noticed that a group of paramilitary-looking men showed up after they’d agreed to speak to the House committee. So, they left in the middle of the night to a hideout.” They are living out of their RV.

The House committee voted unanimously Monday night to recommend former Trump chief of staff Mark Meadows for prosecution for contempt of Congress. The full House is expected to vote today to approve the resolution and forward it to the Department of Justice.

Stockton’s deposition is scheduled for today and Lawrence will testify Wednesday.

By now, Republican officials who left fingerprints on the rally events in Washington either on Jan. 5th or 6th must be feeling at least some of the heat Stockton and Lawrence feel. How long until that other Trump wall, that of silence, breaks down?

“Innocent people don’t plead the Fifth,” Lawrence says, parroting Trump himself.


Christmas bells are ringing

The Census at Bethlehem by Pieter Bruegel the Elder (1566)

Yes, it’s that time of year again where I’m asking for a little holiday cheer to keep the old Hullabaloo blog going. In these days of substacks and newsletters it seems almost quaint, but hey, sometimes the old ways are worth preserving!

I know you are now inundated with requests to support independent journalists and there are so many good ones out there that I know it’s hard to make choices about where to put your money. But I think there’s a case to be made that putting a few coins toward this little corner of the political analyst world is worth your while.


First of all, we write here seven days a week usually eight pieces a day, sometimes more when there is breaking news. (I haven’t missed a day of blogging since 2007, and I’m not kidding.) My morning man Tom Sullivan and I follow the news cycle, with Tom focusing somewhat on Democratic party politics while I follow the wingnut beat. Dennis Hartley writes about movies and music and occasional contributors Spocko does activism while tristero and batocchio follow their muses with the latter usually taking a long look at history. Mostly I try to synthesize various strands of the news in ways that give context and connection in order to make sense of what’s happening in this crazy political world in which we live.

And it is crazy. In fact, it’s downright frightening right now which those of you who pop over here frequently know we have been pounding away at for some time. (As much as I appreciate the recent mainstream media awareness of the threat that the right presents, they were a little bit slow on the uptake.) We are in uncharted territory and I am determined to keep writing and documenting these events as they unfold. There will be no “normalizing” at digby’s place. We know how precarious our democracy is and we will keep sounding the alarm.

So, if you still find some value in this format —- short takes, videos, long analytical pieces and more, every day of the week, I would really appreciate it if you could put a little something in the Christmas stocking to keep the lights on for another year.

You can hit one of the buttons below or use the snail mail address on the sidebar to the left.

Happy Hollandaise everyone!


Thank you!