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Month: January 2022

Thanks Kyrsten

Arizona Democrats censured Kyrsten Sinema this past weekend for her failure to agree to a temporary change to the filibuster in order to protect voting rights — which she said she supported. I’m not a big fan of “censure” generally speaking — I prefer voting people out of office to send that message. But it’s hard to feel that she deserved some immediate sanction by her own constituents when you see something like this:

Arizona Republicans have put forth two dozen bills this month that would significantly change the state’s electoral processes after the GOP’s unorthodox review of millions of ballots affirmed President Joe Biden’s victory and turned up no proof of fraud.

Proposals introduced in the state House or the Senate would add an additional layer to the state’s voter ID requirement, such as fingerprints, and stipulate the hand counting of all ballots by default. Other legislation would require that paper ballots be printed with holograms and watermarks.

Republican legislators argue that the proposals, part an ongoing surge of GOP-led election changes enacted or under consideration across the country, are necessary to enhance election security and prevent fraud.

Official counts, audits and accuracy tests have confirmed the election results in Arizona and elsewhere without finding evidence of widespread fraud, and states with Republican and Democratic leaders have certified the results as accurate. Former President Donald Trump, who continues to promote the lie that the 2020 presidential election was stolen from him, was unable to prove any of the claims in court.

They want to fingerprint voters now? Why not require a DNA test?

Thanks Kyrsten. I can only hope that your constituents give you a proper thank you in 2024.

When the Kraken came to the White House

There have been so many unprecedented and weird goings-on in the aftermath of the 2020 presidential election that I think everyone’s overwhelmed, so we sometimes miss the forest for the trees. The whole Kraken sideshow between Rudy Giuliani and Sidney Powell, with the rivulets of black dye and shrill accusations that the long-dead former president of Venezuela, Hugo Chavez, had rigged the election, was so comically outlandish that I don’t think we fully understood the full scope of the danger the country was in during that period. For all of the public clownish antics by Giuliani and company, the plotting that was going on behind closed doors was even worse.

We now know about the attempt to fire then-acting attorney general and replace him with a Trump toady who was willing to strong-arm state legislators into delaying the certification of votes, a plan which was met with such resistance from both the Department of Justice and the White House Counsel’s office that several staffers threatened to quit en masse, calling it a “murder-suicide pact.” We also now know that the military was so concerned about the president’s erratic behavior that Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff Gen. Mark Milley gathered the top brass to remind them of the protocols in place in the event of an order for a nuclear strike and he felt compelled to call his Chinese counterpart to reassure him that the U.S. was not contemplating an attack.

We now know all about John Eastman’s coup plot for GOP members of Congress to object to the certification of the electoral votes and have vice president Mike Pence throw the electoral count to the House of Representatives, where Trump would automatically win because the GOP has more state delegations (which, for some reason, made sense to someone at one time.) And we have recently had confirmation that Trump associates, led by Giuliani, coerced local Republicans in swing states to fraudulently sign electoral college ballots as fake Trump electors and send them in as if they were legitimate.

But of all the wild reports that emerged over the past few months about the ongoing insanity in the White House during Trump’s lame duck period, there was always one story that I found so incredible that I wondered if it might not have been exaggerated.

Back in December of 2020, the NY Times reported that a late-night meeting took place in the oval office in which the president proposed that Sidney Powell be made a Special Counsel and be given security clearance to pursue her insane claims of massive election rigging. Even Giuliani opposed that idea but the meeting concluded without anyone knowing if Trump would follow through or not.

Retired General Michael Flynn was also present as was, for some unknown reason, Patrick Byrne, the former CEO of Overstock.com. Jonathan Swan at Axios later reported that these people had actually somehow sneaked into the White House (which I didn’t think was possible) to convince the president to “invoke emergency national security powers, seize voting machines and disable the primary levers of American democracy.”

This meeting went on for many hours with people coming and going throughout, arguing and yelling back and forth as the president pressed for these conspiracy theorists to be given more power while the staffers pushed back. It eventually ended up in the residence with arguments going back and forth and no resolution all the way up until midnight.

Powell insisted that the real story was that the election had been stolen by Venezuela, Iran, China and others, in cahoots with the voting machine manufacturers, all of which was a total fantasy. Flynn was pushing for the military to seize the voting machines. Byrne was babbling that he knew how these things worked because he’d bribed Hillary Clinton with 18 million dollars in an FBI sting which nobody understood. It was, in other words, completely unhinged nonsense.

According to Swan, Powell kept referring to an Executive Order from 2018 which was written to impose sanctions on foreign interference, as if it gave Trump some sort of authority. But the New York Times had earlier reported that there was another Executive Order they were bandying about which has remained vague until now, but which we knew was supposed to authorize the seizure of the voting machines. Last Friday, Politico reported that they had a copy of that proposed Executive Order.

Nobody knows who wrote it, but it’s a good bet that Michael Flynn and Sidney Powell herself had a hand in it. The document would have authorized the Special Counsel to investigate the 2020 election. Flynn had been the first to float the idea of having the military seize the voting machines a few days earlier, and that too appeared in this draft Executive Order. Curiously, however, the order mentions a couple of classified orders, one of which had never been made public and therefore must have come from someone with a security clearance.

This document is now in the hands of the January 6th committee which is no doubt trying to run down who wrote the draft. Subpoenas have gone out to Powell and Giuliani although I doubt anyone expects them to comply. Dominion Voting Machines has sued Powell and a number of media companies for defamation for spreading these lies and there’s a good chance that they will lose since her claims were total fabrications.

But after reviewing the reports of this strange meeting in which three crackpots found their way into the White House and commanded nearly six hours of the president and his staff’s time in the middle of the worst public health crisis in a hundred years, I couldn’t help but reflect on the fact that today the vast majority of Republicans are convinced that the election was stolen and the Party has done nothing to disabuse them of that fact.

And the same delusional former president who took those ridiculous proposals to defy the peaceful transfer of power and fraudulently overturn the election seriously is the front runner for the Republican nomination in 2024. How is it even possible that such a person could be let anywhere near the White House again?   

Salon

Euphemistically yours

On the Media last weekend discussed how euphemisms “can keep conservatives from saying what they might really mean.” Matthew Sitman of Know Your Enemy podcast was once a conservative Protestant. He is now a lefty Catholic. He notes that we need to pay more attention to the language of the right (our own, too, I’ll add) to understand the assumptions baked into the language.

In the way Lee Atwater described using abstractions to conceal the underlying racial discrimination baked into many Republican policies, Sitman suggests the Republicans use language not to clarify, but to muddy the waters, making agreement on a shared reality impossible.

Soundprint‘s Larry Masset once said the same about people he met in the New Age movement. Massett noticed how many New Agers he met began sentences with “for me.” He began to think of it as a “universal prepositional solvent, making conflict impossible, dissolving external reality.”

Dissolving external reality sustains the Trump cult. It enables anyone to reformat reality to fit their expectations. And to make conflict inevitable.

Sitman frequently references the Frank Wilhoit quote at the top about conservatism existing to preserve, not equality, but the presence of in-groups and out-groups. Or as Cory Robin writes in “The Reactionary Mind,” that conservatism, Sitman says, involves “instinctive revulsion against the leveling of hierarchies.” A “pre-rational” recoiling “against the Other” drives it.

I’ll add that one habit of mind on the right is bald, unsubstantiated assertion of non-facts as a way of bullying one’s truth to the top of the pile. Sitman cites Nate Hochman, a writer for National Review, claiming the Black Live Matter protesters were “burning down the country” in 2020. Repeat that enough times to people with no direct experience of the many peaceful protests and they will accept that as reality. Or take Josh Hawley:

SEN. JOSH HAWLEY (R-MO): This is my opportunity to stand up and say something, to stand up and point out that there were irregularities in this election, that there was fraud.

Nobody disputes that, by the way.

Lather, rinse, repeat, and those who want to believe it will.

Elections settled before Election Day

Ahead of a midterm election, any number of incumbent congressional legislators decide it is time to retire with federal benefits or, after gerrymandered redistricting, simply to avoid losing. (Depending on age and years of service, benefits can be, shall we say, “comfortable.”) This year is no exception. But the headline from Axios, “Perfect storm brewing for extreme politicians,” is somewhat misleading.

Axios picks out a set of open seats this year arbitrarily chosen because their Partisan Voter Index (PVI) is 15 or higher, and suggests that the districts lend themselves to electing hyperpartisan candidates, either D or R. For the uninitiated, Cook’s defines PVI:

A Partisan Voter Index score of D+2, for example, means that in the 2016 and 2020 presidential elections, that district performed an average of two points more Democratic than the nation did as a whole, while an R+4 means the district performed four points more Republican. 

Axios explains:

The big picture: Incumbents start with a huge advantage; 91% of them won re-election in 2018, according to OpenSecrets.

    • When they leave, it levels the playing field for new candidates. And as districts grow more partisan, so, generally, do the candidates who step up.
    • “Open seats are the biggest accelerant of extremism” and “breeding grounds for ideological warfare,” Cook’s Dave Wasserman tells Axios.

Yes, but: More intensely partisan players also can get elected without help from open seats.

That last is a big, “yes, but” to Axios’ “open seats invite hyperpartisanship” premise.

But the high PVI scores for these seats mean that the D or R primaries are effectively the general elections in these districts. November is already a foregone conclusion. That means each vote in the smaller pool of primary voters carries more weight. Which is true in any primary. But in these districts, primary voters pick the candidate who will go to Congress. And those voters tend to be party stalwarts, more politically active and, Pew finds, holding more sharply ideological views. “Faith and Flag Conservatives on the right and Progressive Left on the left” turned out in the highest numbers in 2020.

My state representative retires at the end of this month after 18 years. Owing to state procedures, party executive committee members from her district select someone to serve the remainder of her term. That’s roughly 60 people. 50%+1 is all that’s required to win that vote. (NC Gov. Roy Cooper makes the official appointment.) Of two who stepped forward, the selected candidate received 43 votes (in a district of about 70k registered voters). This makes him the incumbent going into the May primary in a district where the Democrat is a shoe-in for November.

So, pay attention to when your primaries occur this year. Ballotpedia has a handy chart. Wisconsin and Texas hold primaries in three to five weeks. The rest take place from May through mid-September.

Newt Gingrich has made the transition to full fascism

Needless to say, Cheney is right. Of course he wants to jail members of congress. He’s been heading to that conclusion for 30 years.

This degradation of democracy and the American system of government started with him and neither she nor her father said a word when he was doing it. He has been a blight on American politics since the day he first took office and they all just stood by while he institutionalized demagogic propaganda in the GOP and sowed division and hate at every turn. He is a monster — and they all backed him.

The Anti-Vax Uprising

Robert Malone, the anti-vaccine doctor from Joe Rogan’s podcast, just opened his speech in front of the Lincoln Memorial by invoking Martin Luther King Jr.’s speech at the March on Washington, adding that antivaxx marchers in D.C. today are “standing on the shoulders of giants.”

Uh oh.

We are onto the original acoustic guitar music about the vaccine portion of the antimandate rally so I will be blending something while using a powersaw for the next five to ten minutes.

At the antivaxx rally in DC, RFK Jr. says that in the future “none of us can run and none of us can hide” because of Bill Gates’ satellites and also 5G, unlike… the Holocaust.

“Even in Hitler’s Germany, you could hide in the attic like Anne Frank did.”

All it took was a little bookending with far-right supervillains Anthony Fauci and Bill Gates, but this speaker got the antivaxxers to loudly and repeatedly cheer and agree with Louis Farrakhan.

Ben Collins is one of the foremost analysts of the extremist right wing and he knows what he’s talking about. That is a chilling observation.

Here’s the Auschwitz Museum commenting on RFK Jr.’s speech today, in which he said “Even in Hitler’s Germany, you could hide in an attic like Anne Frank” while he talked about fictional future 5G surveillance of antivaxxers.

Originally tweeted by Ben Collins (@oneunderscore__) on January 23, 2022.

Lordy…

The Forgotten First Year

This piece by Heather Cox Richardson assessing Biden’s first year says it all. I’ll just excerpt a chunk of the middle. The whole thing is a must read. It feels a little bit disorienting for me to read it because I watch too much cable news and suffice to say their negativity and “savvy” cynicism tends to distort your perceptions.

This narrative is true, every word of it. And yet it seems as though it’s coming from an alternate dimension:

Our forty-sixth president came into office in the midst of crisis. The coronavirus pandemic had killed more than 407,000 Americans, and the previous president’s quest to radicalize voters in spring 2020 had led to angry mobs rejecting the preventive measures other countries took. The economy was bottoming out as the pandemic killed workers, discombobulated workplaces, and disrupted supply chains. And the previous president was so determined not to give up power that he had incited his followers to attack Congress and the U.S. Capitol during the formal ceremony acknowledging Biden’s victory.

Even after the horrors of that day, 147 members of the Republican Party doubled down on the lie that Trump had really won the election. And when the Democratic House impeached Trump for inciting the insurrection, ending our country’s 224-year tradition of a peaceful transition of power, Republican senators acquitted him.

Republican lawmakers’ support for the Big Lie indicated how they would approach Biden’s presidency. They stand diametrically opposed to Biden, rejecting Democrats’ vision of the federal government. They are eager to return power to the states to do as they will, recognizing that the end of federal regulation will give far more freedom to people of wealth and that the end of federal protection of civil rights will, in certain states, permit white evangelical Christians to reclaim the “traditional” society they crave.

Biden set out to use government to make people’s lives better and, apparently, believed that successful policies would bring enough Republicans behind his program to ease the country’s extreme partisanship.

He fought the pandemic by invoking the Defense Production Act, buying more vaccines, working with states to establish vaccine sites and transportation to them, and establishing vaccine centers in pharmacies across the country. Vaccinations took off, and he vowed to make sure that 70% of the U.S. adult population would have one vaccine shot and 160 million U.S. adults would be fully vaccinated by July 4th.

At the same time, Democrats passed the $1.9 trillion American Rescue Plan to jump-start the economy by putting money into the pockets of ordinary Americans.The new law cut child poverty in half by putting $66 billion into 36 million households. It expanded access to the Affordable Care Act, enabling more than 4.6 million Americans who were not previously insured to get healthcare coverage and bringing the total covered to a record 13.6 million.

Money from those programs bolstered household savings and fired up consumer spending. By the end of the year, U.S. companies were showing 15% profit margins, higher than they have been since 1950. Companies reduced their debt, which translated to a strong stock market. In February, Biden’s first month in office, the jobless rate was 6.2%; by December it had dropped to 4.2%. This means that 4.1 million jobs were created in the Biden administration’s first year, more than were created in the 12 years of the Trump and George W. Bush administrations combined.

Then, in November, Congress passed a $1.2 trillion infrastructure bill that will repair bridges and roads and get broadband to places that still don’t have it.

U.S. economic output jumped more than 7% in the last three months of 2021. Overall growth for 2021 should be about 6%, and economists predict growth of around 4% in 2022—the highest numbers the U.S. has seen in decades, and higher than any other country in the world. Despite the increased spending, the federal budget deficit in the first quarter of fiscal year 2022 dropped 33% from that of 2021. The downside of this growth was inflation of up to 7%, but this is a global problem and exactly why it’s happening is unclear—increased spending has created pent-up demand, and prices have been unstable because of the pandemic.

Biden reoriented U.S. foreign policy to defend democracy. He immediately took steps to rejoin the World Health Organization and the Paris Climate Accords, and he and Secretary of State Antony Blinken worked hard to rebuild the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) and to replace our outdated focus on combating terrorism on the ground with combating it by defunding terrorists. Biden ended the unpopular 20-year war in Afghanistan and negotiated the exit of U.S. combat troops from Iraq, where we had been for more than 18 years. About 2500 U.S. personnel remain alongside their Iraqi counterparts to hold back remaining ISIS terrorists.

The end of those wars has also given Biden the room virtually to eliminate the U.S. use of drone strikes and airstrikes. In Trump’s first 11 months he authorized more than 1600 airstrikes; Biden has significantly tightened the process of authorization and has authorized 4.

Instead of focusing on soldiers, Biden dramatically increased the use of economic sanctions on international criminals and prosecutions for international criminal behavior to stop the flow of money to terrorists. Biden’s Treasury secretary, Janet Yellen, also helped to hammer out an international minimum tax that will help to close foreign tax shelters.

Biden is turning to these financial tools and the strength of NATO to try to stop another Russian incursion into Ukraine. He has warned Russian president Vladimir Putin that military aggression into a sovereign country will lead to crippling economic backlash, and U.S. ally Germany has put off approval of the valuable Nord Stream 2 gas pipeline Russia has constructed to Europe, worth tens of billions of dollars.

By any historical measure, Biden’s first year has been a roaring success, proving that democracy can, in fact, provide better lives for its people and can protect the rule of law internationally. And yet Biden’s popularity hovers in the low 40s.

Biden’s worldview demands that government accomplish things; the Republicans simply have to say no. They have focused on stopping Biden and the success of his view of government, and because it is only the Democrats who are in the arena, as President Theodore Roosevelt put it, Democrats are bearing the weight of popular discontent.

When the withdrawal from Afghanistan initially produced chaos as the Afghan government collapsed, Republicans hammered on the idea that Biden—and by extension a Democratic government—was incompetent. His numbers began to plummet, and the subsequent success of the largest human airlift in history did not change that narrative.

If Afghanistan happened organically, criticism of government could also be manufactured. In July, as the vaccination program appeared to be meeting Biden’s goals, Republicans began to insist that government vaccine outreach was government tyranny. Vaccination rates began to drop off just as the contagious Delta variant began to rage. When Biden tried to address the falling vaccination rates by requiring that federal workers and contractors, health care workers, and workers at businesses with more than 100 employees be vaccinated or frequently tested, Republicans railed that he was destroying American freedom.

Their argument took hold: by early December, 40% of Republican adults were unvaccinated, compared with fewer than 10% of adult Democrats, making Republicans three times more likely than Democrats to die of Covid. Rather than ending and giving Biden a historical success, the pandemic has continued on, weakening the economy and sparking chaos over masks and school reopenings as Republicans radicalize. Just last week, a woman in Virginia threatened to come to her child’s school with “every single gun loaded and ready” if the school board required masks.

That radicalization, stoked by Republican leaders, is at the point of destroying, once and for all, the idea of a government that works for the people. Republican leaders have stood by as Trump and his lackeys goaded followers into believing that Democratic governance is illegitimate and that Democrats must be kept from power. Following a playbook Republicans have used since 1994, Trump and his loyalists insisted—and continue to insist—on ongoing “audits” of the 2020 vote, knowing that seeing such “investigations” in the news would convince many voters that there must be something there, just as the 2016 ruckus over Secretary of State Hillary Clinton’s emails convinced many Americans that she had done something illegal.

It has worked. Although there is zero evidence of significant voter fraud, so far, 19 Republican-dominated states have passed 33 laws to make it harder for Democrats to vote, or to turn over the counting of votes to partisan Republicans. When Democrats tried to stop such a takeover of our democracy, all 50 Republicans in the Senate opposed federal protection of the right to vote. (Two Democrats joined them in refusing to overrule the filibuster, thus dooming the law to fail.) Now Republicans in three states have proposed election police forces to stop what they continue to insist—without evidence—are voting crimes.

And so, at the end of Biden’s first year—a year that by any standard must be called a success—Republicans are at the verge of achieving, at least for now, the end of the liberal democracy Americans have enjoyed since FDR and the Democrats embraced it in the 1930s, instead eroding the federal government and turning power over to the states.

Yes, the Democrats are guilty of being bad at politics. But this narrative really indicts the media even though she doesn’t say that directly. I know this because I watch it all day every day and read bunch of newspapers. I knew before the election that this was going to happen because the media is addicted to negativity and they are under tremendous (self-imposed) pressure to be “fair and balanced” even as the right wing media has totally abandoned any pretense of being anything but partisan actors.

We knew this would happen but this time it’s really quite astonishing. It’s opposite land.

Daddy’s Little Girl

The January 6th Committee has asked Ivanka Trump to speak to them about the events of January 6th. According to other testimony she repeatedly asked her father to call off the insurrection and he wouldn’t do it. She also supposedly even called Mike Pence “a good man” that day. I doubt she will voluntarily speak to them and who knows if they will subpoena her.

They have already obtained Eric Trump and Kimberley Guilfoyle’s phone records becaue they were both involved in the planning.

Daddy is very, very upset:

Former President Donald Trump slammed the Jan. 6 committee investigating the Capitol insurrection after it asking his daughter Ivanka Trump to sit for an interview.

“It’s a very unfair situation for my children. Very, very unfair,” Donald Trump told The Washington Examiner in an interview for an op-ed published Friday.

“It’s a disgrace, what’s going on. They’re using these things to try and get people’s minds off how incompetently our country is being run. And they don’t care. They’ll go after children,” Donald Trump said.

“They are using whatever powers they have. They couldn’t care less. They are vicious people,” he said.

This from the man who was impeached for trying to extort the president of Ukraine to investigate Joe Biden’s son. You really can’t make this stuff up.

 Ivanka is a 40 year old mother of three, an Executive VP of the Trump Organization, a former senior advisor in the Trump White House and director of the Office of Economic Initiatives and Entrepreneurship in the administration.

If Trump really cared about his kids he would have shielded them from his corrupt company and kept them out of politics. They’d be a lot better off today. But they are all middle aged adults and they are accomplices to his crimes. Tiffany should count herself lucky that he has no use for her.

“I think we ought to have went armed”

Thank God the New York Times finally sent out an expedition to find out what the January 6th Trump cult is thinking:

There were moments when Paul Davis questioned his decision to join the crowd that marched on the United States Capitol last January. When he was publicly identified and fired from his job as a lawyer. When his fiancée walked out.

But then something shifted. Instead of lingering as an indelible stain, Jan. 6 became a galvanizing new beginning for Mr. Davis. He started his own law practice as a “lawyer for patriots” representing anti-vaccine workers. He began attending local conservative meetings around his hometown, Frisco, Texas. As the national horror over the Capitol attack calcified into another fault line of bitter division, Mr. Davis said his status as a Jan. 6 attendee had become “a badge of honor” with fellow conservatives.

“It definitely activated me more,” said Mr. Davis, who posted a video of himself in front of a line of police officers outside the Capitol but said he did not enter the building and was expressing his constitutional rights to protest. He has not been charged with any crime from that day. “It gave me street cred.”

The post-mortems and prosecutions that followed that infamous day have focused largely on the violent core of the mob. But a larger group has received far less attention: the thousands who traveled to Washington at the behest of Mr. Trump to protest the results of a democratic election, the vast majority of whom did not set foot in the Capitol and have not been charged with any crime — who simply went home.

For these Donald Trump supporters, the next chapter of Jan. 6 is not the ashes of a disgraced insurrection, but an amorphous new movement fueled by grievances against vaccines and President Biden, and a deepened devotion to his predecessor’s lies about a stolen election.

In the year since the attack, many have plunged into new fights and new conspiracy theories sown in the bloody chaos of that day. They have organized efforts to raise money for the people charged in the Capitol attack, casting them as political prisoners. Some are speaking at conservative rallies. Others are running for office.

Interviews with a dozen people who were in the large mass of marchers show that the worst attack on American democracy in generations has mutated into an emblem of resistance. Those interviewed are just a fraction of the thousands who attended the rally, but their reflections present a troubling omen should the country face another close presidential election.

Many Jan. 6 attendees have shifted their focus to what they see as a new, urgent threat: Covid-19 vaccine mandates and what they call efforts by Democratic politicians to control their bodies. They cite Mr. Biden’s vaccine mandates as justification for their efforts to block his presidency.

Some bridled at Trump’s recent, full-throated endorsements of the vaccine and wondered whether he was still on their side.

“A lot of people in the MAGA Patriot community are like, ‘What is up with Trump?’” Mr. Davis, the Texas lawyer, said. “With most of us, the vaccines are anathema.”

In interviews, some who attended the Capitol protests gave credence to a new set of falsehoods promoted by Mr. Trump and conservative media figures and politicians that minimize the attack, or blame the violence falsely on left-wing infiltrators. And a few believe the insurrection did not go far enough.

“Most everybody thinks we ought to have went with guns, and I kind of agree with that myself,” said Oren Orr, 32, a landscaper from Robbinsville, N.C., who had rented a car with his wife to get to the Capitol last year. “I think we ought to have went armed, and took it back. That is what I believe.”

Mr. Orr added that he was not planning to do anything, only pray. Last year, he said he brought a baton and Taser to Washington but did not get them out.

More than a year later, the day may not define their lives, but the sentiment that drove them there has given them new purpose. Despite multiple reviews showing the 2020 elections were run fairly, they are adamant that the voting process is rigged. They feel the news media and Democrats are trying to divide the country.

The ralliers were largely white, conservative men and women who have formed the bedrock of the Trump movement since 2016. Some describe themselves as self-styled patriots, some openly carrying rifles and handguns. Many invoke the name of Jesus and say they believe they are fighting a holy war to preserve a Christian nation.

Soooo … they’re nuts. And they’re dangerous.

A national survey led by Robert Pape, the director of the Chicago Project on Security and Threats at the University of Chicago, concluded that about 47 million American adults, or one in every five, agreed with the statement that “the 2020 election was stolen from Donald Trump and Joe Biden is an illegitimate president.” Of those, about 21 million, or 9 percent of American adults, shared the belief that animated many of those who went beyond marching and invaded the Capitol, Mr. Pape said: that the use of force was justified to restore Mr. Trump to the presidency.

“They are combustible material, like an amount of dry brushwood that could be set off during wildfire season by a lightning strike or by a spark,” he said.

They do not believe they can lose elections because they believe they are a majority and that Democrats can’t possibly be victorious because they don’t constantly hold Nuremberg style rallies with ecstatic cult members every other weekend.

I honestly don’t know what will happen if they lose again but I think it’s pretty obvious it won’t be pretty. Maybe Trump will peacefully cast off his mortal coil in his sleep before 2024 and everyone will reset, but I don’t even think that would do it. The GOP is all in on this notion now and they aren’t going to let it go. Their people obviously love it.

If only

Billboard image via 3TV/CBS 5.

TFG had a particularly bad last week. New York’s attorney general, Letitia James, essentially declared that charges against his family business are coming (The Guardian):

“We have uncovered significant evidence that suggests Donald J Trump and the Trump Organization falsely and fraudulently valued multiple assets and misrepresented those values to financial institutions for economic benefit,” James said after the filing was lodged in a New York court.

The new material disclosed by James was so compelling that some close observers of Trumpland are now convinced that he is in serious legal trouble. Michael Cohen, Trump’s former personal attorney and an ex-vice president of the Trump Organization, told the Guardian: “The House of Trump is crumbling.”

But hers is a civil case that could result in steep fines and penalties. The investigation into accounting, bank, tax and insurance fraud by Trump led by Manhattan’s new district attorney, Alvin Bragg, is a criminal one:

“Trump could end up in an orange jumpsuit at the end of that one,” said Timothy O’Brien, a senior columnist for Bloomberg Opinion.

Richard Luscombe writes this morning in The Guardian abaout the avalanche of bad news for TFG:

It included a rebuke from the supreme court over documents related to the 6 January insurrection which Trump incited; news that the congressional committee investigating the riot was closing in on Trump’s inner circle; evidence from New York’s attorney general of alleged tax fraud; and, perhaps most damaging of all, a request from a Georgia prosecutor for a grand jury in her investigation of Trump’s attempt to overturn the 2020 election.

The week ended with the leaking of a document showing that Trump at least pondered harnessing the military in his attempts to overturn Joe Biden’s victory.

TFG-adjacent participants as well as his inner circle are beginning to spill what they know about the conspiracy to overturn the 2020 election. The walls are beginning to close in.

“He’s Teflon Don, he said he could shoot somebody on Fifth Avenue and survive it, his supporters are going to support him no matter what, but I’m starting to think more and more that the walls are closing in on this guy,” said Kimberly Wehle, a respected legal analyst and professor of law at the University of Baltimore.

“The most immediate thing is the grand jury in Georgia because there’s audio of him trying to get [secretary of state] Brad Raffensperger to ‘find’ votes. Under Georgia election laws as I read them that is potentially a crime.

“The looming question is whether Trump will be indicted along with 11 others so far for seditious conspiracy [over the 6 January Capitol attack]. To me that’s the biggest turn of events … the justice department believes they have evidence beyond a reasonable doubt of an agreement, a meeting of minds to overturn a legitimate election.

“And that there are a lot of high-level people that are looped into it, including potentially Donald Trump himself, and of course he’s not president, so he’s not immune from prosecution any more.”

Where Merrick Garland’s Department of Justice investigation into former White House officials stands is still guesswork. But revelations already circulating from documents obtained last week from the Trump White House are increasing the pressure on TFG as well as on the DOJ. These include a shoddily constructed draft executive order to have the Secretary of Defense seize voting machines.

The result of investigations might mean some candidates for reelection in November could be deemed ineligible for public office. Under a 14th Amendment provision, those who have participated in insurrection or rebellion against the United States may not “hold any office, civil or military, under the United States, or under any state. Voters in North Carolina are attempting to get Rep. Madison Cawthorn (R) disqualified on that basis.

Wehle spoke to that issue, saying:

“We have to think about the January 6th committee as getting information to voters before November about sitting members who might be up for reelection,” she said.

“The question is not so much whether Trump will be indicted, but who in a seat of power in the US Congress was potentially involved in this conspiracy.

“Frankly, if American democracy is to be saved from single-party minority rule, November is absolutely vital.”

One way or another, 2022 is going to be a shit show.