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Will the Russian people resist?

Some people have already stood up but there’s no way of knowing whether the protests will get big enough or have enough staying power to make a difference:

There’ve been several reports of Russian citizens decrying the invasion: The Guardian spoke to several Russians who expressed dismay at their country’s moves, and the New York Times just published a report on a handful of Russian celebrities, including singers and TV anchors, who have publicly urged against going to war with Ukraine.

The Guardian noted a new independent poll showing that only 45 percent of Russians supported Putin’s declaration that the Donbas region belonged to his country.

There’s also a big anti-war protest going on in St. Petersburg at the moment:

These people are brave:

Russian authorities on Thursday warned anti-war sympathizers from gathering for protests after President Vladimir Putin launched an invasion of Ukraine.

The Investigative Committee, a government body that investigates major crimes, warned Russians of legal repercussions for joining unsanctioned protests related to “the tense foreign political situation.”

It said it was responding to social media calls to protest against Putin’s decision to attack Ukraine.

“One should be aware of the negative legal consequences of these actions in the form of prosecution up to criminal liability,” it said. The Russian interior ministry said it will take “all necessary measures to ensure public order.”

Russia has strict protest laws and demonstrations often end in mass arrests.

Some Russians called on social media for people to take to the streets to protest against the Ukraine attack. Independent rights monitor, OVD-info, said at least 27 people had been arrested throughout Russia for holding anti-war protests.

Jailed Russian opposition leader Alexei Navalny said earlier on Thursday that he was against the invasion in a speech during his trial, held behind bars. “I am against this war,” Navalny was heard saying in a video published by independent news outlet Dozhd.”This war between Russia and Ukraine was unleashed to cover up the theft from Russian citizens and divert their attention from problems that exist inside the country,” Navalny said.

I suspect that the more effective protests will come from Putin’s oligarchs and their children if the US and its allies make their lives outside of Russia difficult.

Follow the money — and take it.

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