A little sunshine in your day

I know I promised to ignore the polls (and we should!) but I can’t help but share this:

Despite relentless hype of a “red wave” and “red tsunami”Democrats expand their lead over Republicans in Congressional ballot poll to 47-42 (up from last week).

Naturally ⁦@playbookdc⁩ buried this detail deep in their newsletter. pic.twitter.com/SOZJ0j3Vm6

— Murshed Zaheed (@murshedz) October 26, 2022

There are now three weekly tracks showing 3-4 pt movement to the Dems in the past week:

Econ/YouGov 45-44 to 46-42 3 pt Dem gain
MC/Politico 45-44 to 47-42 4 pt Dem gain
Rasmussen 41-48 to 43-47 3 pt Dem gain https://t.co/bU2dbAA8hs

— Simon Rosenberg (@SimonWDC) October 26, 2022

Does this mean it’s going our way? Who knows? But the truth is that in close races the timing of momentum shifts means something. In 2016, remember, it was that heinous announcement from Comey ten days before the election that sank Clinton. If she’d had a couple of weeks to recover she probably would have won.

So we’ll see. I’m not getting my hopes up. All the pollsters are looking at a close race favoring Republicans. But you never know …

Just vote. And if you’re inclined to help, do some canvassing. The rest is up to fate.