Via Josh Kraushaar in Axios: “The GOP’s shrinking Senate map.”
One of the biggest immediate consequences if Donald Trump is at the top of the ticket in 2024: Republicans may campaign aggressively in fewer Senate battleground races.
In an interview with CNN last week, Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.) was cautious about the number of top GOP pickup opportunities — despite a historically favorable map giving the party a strong chance of ending Democrats’ 51–49 majority.
“I just spent 10 minutes explaining to you how we could screw this up, and we’re working very hard to not let that happen. Let’s put it that way,” McConnell said.
He only listed four Democratic-held seats as top opportunities: West Virginia, Montana, Ohio and Pennsylvania.
If Trump’s endorsements of weak candidates hurt GOP prospects in 2022, it’s the prospect that Trump will lead the GOP presidential ticket that could jeopardize purple-state opportunities in 2024.
Yep. It’s not a given that the GOP takes the Senate or keeps the House. Not at all.