It continues to let us down
These numbers appear to be promising:
The Bloomberg News/Morning Consult survey found that among voters in the swing states of Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, 53 percent of respondents said they were unwilling to vote for the former president if he is convicted in one of his multiple criminal cases.
Forty-six percent of respondents said they are “very unwilling” to cast their ballot for Trump if he is found guilty, while 7 percent said they are “somewhat unwilling.” Twenty-nine percent of respondents said they were “very willing” to vote for Trump if he is convicted of a crime, and 11 percent said they are “somewhat wiling.”
The survey found that female voters, voters over 65 and voters with a bachelor’s or post-graduate degree were more likely to say they were unwilling to vote for the former president if he is convicted.
Black and Asian voters were also more likely to say they would not vote for Trump if he is convicted. Three-quarters of respondents who identified as atheist said they would be unwilling to vote for Trump if he is found guilty
I would say that it’s hard to believe 40% of the country is willing to vote for a convicted felon but I do believe it. He could shoot someone on 5th Avenue, yadda, yadda, yadda.
But what happens if the court declares that he has immunity? Considering the long delay now in the District Court I think we have to entertain the real possibility that it might happen. At the very least I think we have to prepare ourselves for the idea that none of the major cases are going to reach a jury before the election. All we might get are the civil trials and maybe Stormy Daniels which is very likely to end in acquittal.
I hope I’m wrong. And if he loses the election hopefully he will face justice in the end. But counting on it to help ensure he doesn’t get re-elected is probably not worth investing too much emotional energy.