Even if they aren’t wearing a red hat or waving a giant Trump flag
A good rule of thumb from Never Trumper Mike Madrid:
Let me offer some advice when you’re talking to Republican friends, family & neighbors about not voting for Trump. This is how you can tell who is and isn’t voting for Trump.
If someone says “I really don’t like the way he handles himself and his offensive tweets but I like his policies” that person is a Trump voter.
This person knows what they’re doing is wrong but they’re rationalizing the behavior they know is wrong.
If someone says “I don’t like Trump or his policies but no way I’d ever vote for Biden” this person is a Trump voter.
This person doesn’t care, even enjoys doing the wrong thing and won’t be bothered by being forced to answer for it or think about it.
If someone says “January 6th was the breaking point for me” or “Trump is mentally unfit” or “He’s dangerous”
This voter has broken the fever swamp. Expect 1 in 10 Republicans to respond this way.
They’re there but don’t be fooled by the first two. They’re Trumpers.
Among the first two are virtually all GOP officials. Well, except for most of Trump’s former cabinet. The people who know him best. They’re in the third category.