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Month: June 2025

Brace For Impact

Roberts drops legal ordnance

Photo by William J. Ford/Maryland Matters. (CC BY-NC-ND 4.0)

SCOTUS issues its last decisions of the term this morning at 10 a.m. ET.

“‘Dread’ doesn’t begin to describe it,” says GottaLaff.

“Going with existential terror,” replies court-watcher Dahlia Lithwick.

The Supreme Court will release its remaining opinions of the term TOMORROW. It will hand down six decisions—including the birthright citizenship case, the challenge to LGBTQ books in public schools, and a key Voting Rights Act dispute.

Mark Joseph Stern (@mjsdc.bsky.social) 2025-06-26T14:21:45.484Z

Washington Post:

The Supreme Court is at the end of its term, with six final decisions expected Friday. The justices so far have allowed states to ban gender transition care for minors, lowered the standard for proving workplace discrimination for members of majority groups, and deadlocked on the legality of direct public funding for religious schools, among other issues.

Several major rulings will come on the last day, including whether to limit nationwide injunctions such as those blocking President Donald Trump’s ban on birthright citizenship, the legality of requiring age verification to access online porn, and whether parents can opt their children out of school lessons featuring books with LGBTQ+ themes.

Make it an Irish coffee this morning.

* * * * *

Have you fought dictatorship today?

Good Trouble Lives On (July 17, in memory of John Lewis)
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Indivisible: A Guide to Democracy on the Brink
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Chop Wood, Carry Water
Thirty lonely but beautiful actions
Attending a Protest Surveillance Self-Defense

Marriage Equality The Next Battlefield

Did you think it wouldn’t happen?

They did it to abortion ….

Ten years ago this week, in 2015, the US Supreme Court gave same-sex couples access to marriage nationwide, which was controversial at the time but today seems obvious to a large portion of the country.

Seventeen years ago, in 2008, California voters voted to ban same-sex marriage in their state.

Twenty-one years ago, in 2004, President George W. Bush’s reelection campaign won in part — maybe in large part — because Ohio was among 11 states that year where voters also approved state constitutional bans to outlaw same-sex marriage, potentially driving turnout.

That year, in CNN’s presidential exit polls, just one-quarter of Americans thought same-sex couples should be able to legally marry. A larger portion approved of civil unions.

Twenty-nine years ago, in 1996, a Democratic president, Bill Clinton, signed the Defense of Marriage Act, which defined marriage as between a man and a woman.

But today, a decade after the Supreme Court’s landmark Obergefell v. Hodges decision, close to 70% of Americans approve of same-sex marriage, according to some polls.

The country has done a 180.

Unfortunately, the right wing culture warriors haven’t. And they play the long game:

But while Trump has no issue with same-sex marriage, there is a brewing backlash among religious conservatives.

► Southern Baptists, at their annual meeting this month, called for the passage of laws challenging the decision.

► Symbolic resolutions calling on the court to revisit Obergefell have been introduced in at least nine state legislatures.

► Efforts to create a new legal class of marriage — covenant marriage, based on conservative religious teachings — that would be between a man and a woman and make divorce more difficult, have sputtered, so far, in Missouri and Tennessee this year. For context, House Speaker Mike Johnson entered into a covenant marriage in Louisiana.

► Kim Davis, a former county clerk from Kentucky who drew nationwide attention when she defied court orders and refused to issue marriage licenses in 2015 after the Obergefell decision, is still fighting to have the Supreme Court revisit the decision.

There are Supreme Court justices who came to the bench decades ago, when opposition to gay marriage was a major political issue, who now — with a much more conservative court — would like to revisit the decision and take away nationwide marriage equality.

When the court overturned Roe v. Wade in 2022, Justice Clarence Thomas called on justices to also revisit Obergefell.

Constitutional rights are not safe with this court. It seems impossible that they could ban same-sex marriage but I could easily see them saying that states have a right to refuse to honor them for the purpose of government benefits, things like that. They could easily chip away at it in a dozen different ways. That’s the right wing culture war strategy.

Did you think this all out assault on transgender rights would be the end of it?

Immigration Prison Horror

It may be even worse than we imagined.

I’ve heard stories of how the detainees are treated while they await their perfunctory hearings. They aren’t allowed showers, are given meager rations and water and share their spaces with dozens of other inmates with one exposed toilet. They aren’t getting adequate medical care, even after being beaten and abused by the ICE agents during their abduction.

Wired got access to a bunch of 911 calls from the detention centers and they make your hair stand on end:

On April 28, a nurse at the Aurora ICE Processing Center near Denver called 911. A woman in custody, four months pregnant, had arrived at the facility’s medical unit, bleeding and in pain. As the staff rushed to get vitals, the dispatcher rattled off questions: How old was she? Was the pregnancy high risk? The nurse hesitated: “She just came to us three days ago.”

On 911 audio obtained by WIRED, the dispatcher’s voice cuts in:

“Is there any sign of life?”
“Have we heard a heartbeat?”
“Does she feel any kicking?”

“We don’t have the equipment to do that,” the nurse replies.

It was just one incident in a spike of emergencies playing out inside Immigration and Customs Enforcement detention centers nationwide.

A WIRED investigation into 911 calls from 10 of the nation’s largest immigration detention centers found that serious medical incidents are rising at many of the sites. The data, obtained through public records requests, show that at least 60 percent of the centers analyzed had reported serious pregnancy complications, suicide attempts, or sexual assault allegations. Since January, these 10 facilities have collectively placed nearly 400 emergency calls. Nearly 50 of those have involved potential cardiac episodes, 26 referenced seizures, and 17 reported head injuries. Seven calls described suicide attempts or self-harm, including overdoses and hangings. Six others involved allegations of sexual abuse—including at least one case logged as “staff on detainee.”

WIRED spoke with immigration attorneys, local migrant advocates, national policy experts, and individuals who have been recently detained or have family currently in ICE custody. Their accounts echoed the data: a system overwhelmed, and at times, seemingly indifferent to medical crises.

Experts believe the true number of medical emergencies is far higher.

I beg you to set aside the time to read the whole article. It’s long but the detail is so important for people to know. Share it with your own friends and networks.

These places are privately owned and operated, profit-making gulags located in remote areas far from where the prisoners were picked up and so have little access to lawyers and family. It’s Kafkaesque. And I would bet there are people making a lot of money doing this — courtesy of the taxpayers.

I know the price of eggs is a real problem for all of us but honestly, this is our nightmare. Our country, our society has embraced the evils we fought against through the 20th century.

Jon Ossoff Is Good At This

“Answer the question, Mr. Vought … I don’t want to hear about the Biden administration. You’re here on behalf of the Trump administration”

HuffPost:

During a Senate appropriations hearing, Ossoff focused on the administration’s efforts to slash the budget of the Georgia-based Centers for Disease Control and Prevention by about 50% as well as the agency losing about one-quarter of its workforce.

Vought was testifying on Trump’s request to slash about $9.4 billion in funding for foreign aid and public broadcasting, part of a package that looks to codify cuts proposed by the so-called Department of Government Efficiency

Ossoff used the hearing to ask Vought about the administration’s “mistakes” such as attempts to rehire employees fired from their federal government jobs.

Vought — who looked to dodge Ossoff’s questions by suggesting he contact federal agency heads instead — was later pressed about the cuts at the CDC, an agency he described as “incompetent” amid the COVID-19 pandemic.

Ossoff went on to urge Vought to visit the CDC’s headquarters in Atlanta, a proposal to which he swiftly agreed. Ossoff responded, “Good, we’ll make that happen, because you are destroying this institution and whatever criticism you have about their past performance, they are essential to public health and epidemiological defense in the United States.”

He continued, “You’re crushing morale, you’re crushing capability, and you’re destroying my constituents’ lives.”

He and that loon Bobby Jr are going to be responsible for the loss of countless lives.

Ossoff is up for re-election in 2026. I assume it will be a tough fight for him since it’s a red state and who knows what kind of shenanigans the elections officials will be up to? But he’s very good — and he’s only 38 years old. If he survives this election I would guess that his future is very bright.

Meanwhile In Bizarro World

You be the judge of how “professional” this was. (I don’t know what “confirming” means but Trump’s vocabulary is shrinking by the day and he’s now having to substitute words because he can’t find the ones he wants.)

He says there that all initial assessments are preliminary and that everyone should instead wave the flag and celebrate. Also, Trump said they obliterated the nuclear program within minutes. Does he know what he’s saying?

This was undoubtedly the most embarrassing display by a Defense Secretary in U.S. history. Donald Rumsfeld was the picture of sober rectitude compared to this nut.

But Dear Leader loved it and that’s all that matters. If only Pete wore pink:

Did You Think MAGA Wouldn’t Support Their Daddy?

“No ambivalence from Republicans on the U.S. bombing of Iran’s nuclear sites. By a large margin, GOP voters give full-throated support to the mission,”said Quinnipiac University Polling Analyst Tim Malloy.

There was never any chance that MAGA wouldn’t support Trump. Please. He’s their Dear Leader. However, non-MAGA voters weren’t as impressed:

Half of voters (50 percent) think U.S. military strikes targeting Iran’s nuclear program would make Americans less safe, while 42 percent think they would make Americans safer, and 8 percent did not offer an opinion.

Among Republicans, 14 percent think U.S. military strikes targeting Iran’s nuclear program would make Americans less safe, while 80 percent think they would make Americans safer.

Among Democrats, 76 percent think U.S. military strikes targeting Iran’s nuclear program would make Americans less safe, while 13 percent think they would make Americans safer.

Among independents, 58 percent think U.S. military strikes targeting Iran’s nuclear program would make Americans less safe, while 35 percent think they would make Americans safer.

And 80% of the country is worried about being dragged into a war with Iran. But don’t worry. If “Daddy” decided to do it, he’ll lie us into it and MAGA will follow along like the good little cultists they are.

By the way, this Daddy meme is for real:

Look Who’s Talking (Gibberish)

“A very average mentally person…”

Jerome Powell is “a very average mentally person. He’s a average mentally person. He’s a very stupid person.” — says the very stable genius who has all the good words. 

Why are we putting up with this?

 

First They Came For The Undocumented

When does immigration enforcement become ethnic cleansing?

CNN’s Zachary B. Wolf tries to flesh out Stephen Miller’s endgame:

This week, the Supreme Court blessed, for now, the administration’s effort to deport people from countries such as Cuba and Venezuela to places other than their homeland, including nations halfway around the world in Africa.

In Florida, construction began on a migrant detention center intended to be a sort of Alcatraz in the Everglades.

And CNN reported exclusively that the administration will soon make a large universe of people who had been working legally after seeking asylum eligible for deportation.

The Trump administration means to target “people who came into the US unlawfully and then applied for asylum while in the country,” says CNN’s Priscilla Alvarez.

WOLF: This is certainly not the criminal population that President Donald Trump and border czar Tom Homan said during the campaign that they would target first for deportation, right?

ALVAREZ: You’re right to say that coming into this administration, Trump officials repeatedly said their plans were to target people with criminal records.

That is a hard thing to do. It requires a lot of legwork, and their numbers in terms of arrests were relatively low compared to where they wanted to be.

The White House wants to meet at least 3,000 arrests a day, and you just cannot do that if you are only going after people with criminal records.

They’re creating more undocumented to deport

Brown people cannot immigrate the right way, it seems:

WOLF: So the Trump administration essentially created a large new population of undocumented people who were previously here with some sort of blessing from the government?

ALVAREZ: Yes. I’ve been talking to experts in industries that depend on migrant workers and there have been situations where someone had hired a migrant worker who had a work permit to legally work here while their applications are being adjudicated, while they went through their immigration proceedings, and they don’t have that anymore. Those protections and benefits have been stripped.

That person who was hired legally is now suddenly undocumented. That can create an issue for industries that depend on the migrant workforce.

Someone mentioned that to me as an example earlier this week, as we were talking through how it can affect agriculture, construction and manufacturing.

We don’t have a good sense of the numbers yet, but all indications are that by stripping protections consistently through various ways, the number of people who are undocumented in the United States is growing.

The Trump administration’s problem is not with immigration and border control. It’s problem is with who is doing the immigrating, as Donald Trump’s own wife suggests. When does immigration enforcement become ethnic cleansing?

* * * * *

Have you fought dictatorship today?

Good Trouble Lives On (July 17, in memory of John Lewis)
The Resistance Lab
Choose Democracy
Indivisible: A Guide to Democracy on the Brink
You Have Power
Chop Wood, Carry Water
Thirty lonely but beautiful actions
Attending a Protest Surveillance Self-Defense

Re: Zohran Mamdani

Can Democrats learn?

“2003 jump-started the learned helplessness Democrats are known for,” writes Dan Pfeiffer this morning in a post about party members’ reaction (or lack of it) to Donald Trump ordering the bombing of Iran nuclear facilities. “Democrats need to once again become the party that opposes wars—particularly dumb, poorly thought-out wars of choice.” Agreed. But it’s the learned helplessness I want to address. Again.

Qasim Rashid, Esq. writes at his Substack:

Let’s not sugarcoat it. This week, the Democratic machine threw everything they had—billionaire endorsements, NYT op-eds, a deluge of corporate cash, and the full weight of washed-up politicians like Andrew Cuomo, Bill Clinton, and Michael Bloomberg—at Zohran Mamdani. And he still won. Big. The party now has a choice to make, and that choice will determine whether it ever has a chance of truly returning to its roots as a party for working people—or whether it completes its transformation into Republican-lite. How do we ensure they make the right decision, and how do we ensure leaders like Zohran Mamdani become the new face of the party going forward?

I don’t know enough about Zohran Mamdani to say whether he should or shouldn’t be the party’s new face. But I’ve already addressed the need for the party to put forward new faces for an electorate that clearly wants them.

Jonathan Lemire observes in The Atlantic:

Mamdani revealed himself to be remarkably adept at communicating his message, mastering social-media memes and delivering powerful speeches that evoked far more of Barack Obama’s loft than Biden’s whisper. He said yes to seemingly every interview and every podcast, tossing aside the caution traditionally preached by the focus-group-wielding political-consultant class. He tapped into liberal New Yorkers’ anger over Gaza. He resonated with young people, including young men, who not only turned out for him but also volunteered for his campaign, creating an enthusiastic army of believers that created a noticeable contrast with Cuomo’s support from donors, unions, and establishment figures. In the race’s final days, a cheerful Mamdani walked the length of Manhattan, a metaphor for the tirelessness he brought to the race.

Lemire cites the usual pundits offering their usual “what will the Republicans say?” warnings about Zohran Mamdani’s rise. Democrats too predictably flinch like abused spouses when Republicans bark. Think what voters see is “socialist” first, or is it the flinching? The former smear only carries real weight these days among voters old enough to remember the Cold War (including most of the Democratic establishment). The latter is a bigger turnoff to voters who don’t, and they will inherit this country, or what’s left of it, when the Democratic gerontocracy shuffles off.

“I’ve already heard from some Democrats who worry that this guy is going to get us all labeled as socialists,” the Reverend Al Sharpton, the civil-rights leader and Democratic stalwart, told me. “But he hit on something; he connected with something. Mamdani kept showing up. Democrats need to keep showing up.”

That was Coloradan Adam Frisch’s message when he addressed the DNC winter meeting in February. Frisch nearly upset pistol-packin’ Republican Lauren Boebert in 2022. There’s a message there. If politics is downstream of culture, perhaps policy is downstream of showing up.

What I see is an internal struggle among party members who have learned helplessness and those who refuse to be bound by their elders’ aversion to risk-taking and fear of experimentation.

I used this example just last night over dinner with friends.

Tell Democrats that they’re out of time, down by four points, and their only chance at winning is to throw a “Hail Mary” pass. They’ll say, “But what if we’re intercepted?”

* * * * *

Have you fought dictatorship today?

Good Trouble Lives On (July 17, in memory of John Lewis)
The Resistance Lab
Choose Democracy
Indivisible: A Guide to Democracy on the Brink
You Have Power
Chop Wood, Carry Water
Thirty lonely but beautiful actions
Attending a Protest Surveillance Self-Defense

The Big Stick Is A Tiny Twig

Paul Glastris at the Washington Monthly talked to a national security source who had an interesting take on the Iran strikes that I haven’t heard before:

Are you surprised at what seems to be the limited degree of damage to these facilities? 

No, the United States military has been toiling for several decades to develop weapons capable of destroying underground facilities.  These complexes are called “Hard and Deeply Buried Targets” (HDBT).  These efforts started all the way back in the Clinton administration when the Secretary of Defense was looking at options for taking out Libya’s underground chemical weapons complex at Tarhuna. At the time, none of the options on the table were palatable, so the quest began to develop air delivered munitions that could take out these targets. It proved far more difficult than anyone would have imagined. The government established a test facility, a mock underground chemical and nuclear production facility, out in the western US and bombed it literally for years. Every imaginable type of bomb or combination of bombs were used, rarely did it cause any more than superficial damage to the facility. So, this latest weapon, long in development but never deployed, has demonstrated once again that if an adversary simply digs deeply enough, the laws of physics are on their side. So, these results were disappointing, but by no means surprising, following a long history of failure against this type of target. That’s a major reason why previous administrations have been resistant to using them.  

If this initial report proves true, what are the consequences? 

Terrible. As long as we didn’t use them, Iran didn’t know for sure how damaging they could be. That gave us leverage with them. Now the situation is reversed. We’ve revealed or confirmed that our most fearsome weapon, or the most fearsome we’re willing to use—we could drop nukes or send in the 82nd Airborne, but that’s not going to happen—can collapse the entrances of tunnels but not destroy facilities buried deeply in a mountain. Going into any negotiations with them, they know our limits. That doesn’t mean Iran is in a strong position. Israel has decimated its military, and its economy is in ruins because of sanctions. In any negotiations with Trump, it’s the sanctions they want lifted. But now they’re in a much better position to get what they want than they were before this bombing run, especially considering other intel suggesting that the regime removed some or all its highly enriched uranium and centrifuges out these facilities before the attack. 

And not just Iran. Every other adversarial regime now knows these weapons are essentially duds. That weakens our leverage considerably with all of them. I am sure Kim Jung Un is happy in North Korea today.

This strike and Trump’s love affair with Kin Jong Un has shown anyone that can develop a nuke that they should do it. And this shows that for all of our military prowess, unless we are prepared to invade (and even then) there’s not much we can do about it.

Awesome. Great plan.