Tonight’s Tennessee special election is not expected to go to the Democrat. It’s a Trump +22 district. But judging by the Republican panic, they are terrified that the margin is going to be embarrassing enough that the Democratic roll in these elections will be validated again, and in a deep red state. (If the Democrat actually pulls it off it would be an earthquake.) It calls their redistricting scheme into question as well because they have deliberately lowered their margins in a number of districts in order to eliminate Democratic representation. If there really is a blue wave forming that might not work out so well.
As always, Bolts is the place to go to see what we have in store among the states tonight and for the rest of the month: