Apparently, the U.S. government decided to ignore every analysis of what I ran would do in the face of attack for the past 50 years and they’ve been taken by surprise:
Nearly two weeks after the United States and Israel attacked Iran with an extraordinary display of firepower, Iran has found a way to inflict pain back on its enemies by strangling one of the world’s most vital waterways. By threatening shipping traffic through the Strait of Hormuz, attacking tankers in an Iraqi port and beginning to lay mines in the strait, Iran has sent oil prices surging and slowed global trade. It has also made clear that it is intent on using what advantages it has to sap the will of the United States to sustain the war.
The Iranian tactics have forced the United States to prepare to provide naval escorts for shipping traffic through the strait and to plan for anti-mine operations even as American forces target what is left of the Iranian navy, including Iranian mine-laying vessels.
On Thursday, Mojtaba Khamenei, the new supreme leader of Iran, sent the regime’s clearest signal yet that it would continue to endanger commercial shipping in the strait, through which a fifth of the world’s oil was passing before the war began.
“Certainly, the lever of closing the Strait of Hormuz must continue to be used,” Mr. Khamenei said in his first statement since being chosen to succeed his father, who was killed in an airstrike at the start of the war.
Iran, analysts say, is demonstrating that even in a weakened state, it can inflict significant economic and military damage on the United States. That further complicates President Trump’s calculations about how and when to end the war and how to deal with a post-conflict Iran.
They had no calculations. Trump was convinced that his new hand-picked leaders in Iran would “make a deal” in order to stay in power and would give up their military and cut him in on the oil and everything would be great. Bibi and LIndsey told him he’d be remembered as Alexander the Great. Nobody could tell him otherwise.
This is one of the dumbest mistakes any president has ever made. EVERYONE who knew anything about the middle east understood the risk for the world economy if the Strait was closed for any length of time. They ignored that or or were too stupid to know it and were completely unprepared.