I would guess that we’re all in pretty much the same boat with that question right now. I don’t have any answers except to say that this is a serious crisis and it’s hard to see a way out. It’s overwhelming mostly because the entire Republican Party has signed on and they hold all the institutional power. (We’re about to find out if they at completely willing to castrate the judiciary as thoroughly as they castrated themselves.)
Josh Marshall addresses a couple of the big questions in his piece today. The first that’s commonly asked is whether or not this strategy of holding up the budget and/or the debt ceiling really makes any sense in light of the fact that the Republicans and the White House are all liars and we can almost bet on them reneging on any deal that’s made and not even attempt to make it look legitimate. Might makes right, right?
Marshall says the key is for Democrats to remember that it’s Trump who needs a deal not them. He offers a few ideas, such as very short term CRs to keep the issue on the front burner but makes it clear that they simply must not take ownership of this problem (a problem Trump does understand is his because, as you’ll recall, he begged the Congress to raise the debt ceiling before the inauguration.)
The second question he gets all the time is why “The Resistance” doesn’t seem to have materialized. He points out quite rightly that what really tripped Trump up in his first term was the quiet resistance groups that grew up all over the country even as the big demonstrations took most of the attention. And those groups are actually quite active right now. He notes:
[W]hile it hasn’t yet percolated up to DC journalists, something very dramatic started happening among rank and file Democrats roughly two weeks ago. It only started registering with elected Democrats in DC mid-last-week.
There is no doubt about it. People are alarmed and they are getting organized.
He also explains, quite astutely I think, that the dynamic was very different in 2017 because everyone, including Trump and the Republicans, thought his election was a fluke. Nobody expected him to win, they weren’t prepared and people thought that he could possibly be forced to resign or the law would take him out. Now, after two impeachment acquittals, an insurrection, a successful Big Lie, numerous failed prosecutions and a restoration it’s pretty clear that it’s not that easy. He writes:
The 2024 election was very, very different. It’s wrong to say that people voted for every last thing that is happening now or whatever he happened to say at one point or another on the campaign trail. That’s not how voting works. At least a quarter of the electorate votes with only the vaguest sense of what each candidate is proposing. But it is certainly true that almost everyone had a general sense of what kind of person Trump was and what kind of president he’d be. He’d already been President, after all. What’s more the entire campaign had been run with the clear understanding that Trump winning was a very real possibility. So people couldn’t vote for him thinking it was a throwaway vote with no consequence. He didn’t just slip through. It was a very close election. But he won a plurality if not a majority of the vote and he reclaimed the industrial midwest.
This led not only to a profound demoralization that Democrats are only now emerging from. It also made his presidency seem far less fragile than it had seemed when it was perceived (and to some degree was) an accident eight years ago. The logic of mass demonstrations and other kinds of performative resistance just doesn’t play the same way. People are also in the midst, very much the targets of a far-ranging shock and awe campaign from which they are only now after a couple weeks recovering their wits. So some of the difference people are noting isn’t just demoralization or giving up. It’s a rational response to a different set of circumstances. A few big hits won’t end this. This is for the long haul.
It’s depressing but it’s also just realistic. Trump is no longer the accidental president he was in the first term. He’s the undisputed head of the Republican party and all the near misses have given him the reputation of a Strongman who cannot be stopped. It’s going to take some different strategies and a commitment to sticking with the fight to thwart his worst impulses and end this assault on our values and principles. The opposition just has to put its head down, take one step at a time in as many different directions as possible and just not give up. What choice do we have?