Is California Going To Have An Earthquake Next Month?
by digby
Could be …
New Poll by Winograd Shows Harman in Trouble
Poll of nearly 1,000 Likely Primary Voters Shows Incumbent With Just 43% Support
(Marina del Rey) A new poll of likely primary voters shows incumbent Jane Harman with just 43 percent support in California’s 36th congressional district, where Harman is facing a formidable challenge from Marcy Winograd. The figure is far below the 50% considered safe for incumbents, and reflects the mood demonstrated by the recent primary elections in which established D.C. figures were defeated by challengers.
The IVR poll by the Merriman River Group for the Winograd for Congress campaign was conducted among a random sample of 991 likely primary voters and had a margin of error of 3.2 percent.
Merriman pollster Matthew Fitch notes, “Harman’s support of 43% among likely Democratic voters can be considered weak for a long-term incumbent.” In contrast, the Merriman poll memo concludes, “…approximately 70% of all voters who have formed an opinion of Winograd are likely to vote for her.”
Winograd was an early Blue America endorsee and someone who is near and dear to Howie, John and me as she’s a local and a friend. She’s also a real, true blue progressive who far better represents her district on the west side of LA than the Blue Dog Jane Harman, who describes herself as the “best Republican in the Democratic Party.”
Let’s hope the anti-incumbent tsunami comes ashore in Venice, California on June 8th.
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