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Shadow Speaker MTG Makes Her Move

Let’s just make her the Queen Of All Maga and get it over with

Of course she finally did it:

On Friday, Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene (R-GA) filed a motion to formally boot Speaker Mike Johnson (R-LA) from the office.

Greene’s move, which came amid conservative outrage over Johnson’s deal on a spending package to avert a government shutdown that passed Friday, threatens to throw the chamber into chaos just months after a hard-right faction ousted Kevin McCarthy from the top job.

Due to the procedural details of the so-called motion to vacate the chair, it was unclear when exactly the vote on Johnson’s fate would be held—or if it would be held at all.

Greene did not notice the resolution as privileged, a special designation that forces a vote. If and when she does, it would give House leadership two legislative days to hold a vote on the measure.

However, the chamber was scheduled to leave for a two-week recess on Friday, so any vote on a motion to vacate would happen at the earliest on April 9.

Speaking to reporters after filing the resolution, Greene said it was time to find a new Speaker of the House.

“We’ve started the clock to start the process to elect a new speaker,” Greene told reporters after filing the motion to vacate. “I’m giving my conference time. I’m being respectful to my conference. But many members in my conference agree, even though it’s uncomfortable, it’s a process none of us want to go through, it has to happen.”

[…]

Standing on the House steps Friday afternoon, shaking his head at a press scrum around Greene, Rep. Mike Lawler (R-NY) called the motion to vacate Johnson “idiotic.”

“I think it does nothing to actually further the conservative agenda, and in fact, once again actually undermines the conference,” Lawler told reporters.

“The American people elected a House Republican majority to serve as a check and balance to govern,” he continued, “and unfortunately, what we’re seeing is a continuation of what occurred last year, where some members of the conference would rather grandstand and create chaos than actually govern.”

Apparently the hardliners are up in arms because Johnson had to keep the government open with the help of Democrats. Boo hoo hoo.

That alone is a black mark for GOP hardliners; making matters worse, the spending bill vote represented the first time this Congress that GOP leadership has failed to win a majority of Republicans on a vote.

Greene’s play is similar to what then-Rep. Mark Meadows did in 2015 to then-Speaker John Boehner. Meadows filed a motion to vacate the chair but never noticed it as privileged, so no vote happened—though Boehner eventually stepped down from the job.

In October of last year, Rep. Matt Gaetz (R-FL) filed the motion to vacate McCarthy as privileged, resulting in his ouster swiftly afterward.

Gaetz’s motion passed with the backing of seven other Republican defectors and unanimous Democratic support. This time around, Democrats are less likely to align against Johnson.

This guy jumped the gun already marking himself as a useful idiot:

Rep. Tom Suozzi (D-NY)—who recently replaced former Rep. George Santos—called Greene’s motion “stupid.” He said that if a vote to remove Johnson materializes, he would protect the speaker.

That may happen of course. But you don’t just announce it before you get something in return!

Other Democrats signaled they are open to bailing out Johnson if conservatives move forward with a vote, but their backing might have strings attached. Support from many Democrats could depend on Johnson advancing a foreign aid package with funding for Ukraine.

Exactly. I’m not sold on the idea of bailing out this theocratic wierdo anyway but if they do it they’d better get something for it because the voters don’t have a clue about the details of this insanity and they won’t be rewarded for being “the grown-ups.” They have to get something tangible for it.

Some of the Republicans are saying the quiet part out loud:

Short List

The beltway press is very excited about the possibility that Marco Rubio might be tapped for VP (which he has said he’d be honored to accept.) Obviously Trump thinks this is going to boost his standing with Latinos and maybe he’s right. Blue collar Americans, including blue collar Latinos, do seem to like him more than they used to even though all he really did during his first term was give vast sums to rich people like himself.

Anyway, maybe it will happen. Rubio is showing real talent for energetic boot licking so he may be the perfect choice. But I think this guy, who is on the short list for Attorney General could be a bit of a problem. To say the least:

If the Republicans take the Senate this nut could be confirmed. Sound good?

They Still Won’t Leave Her Alone

I’m already seeing commentary that says this wasn’t good enough. They demand to know ALL the details and what exactly they are doing for her and what the kids said when they told them and how William feels and blah, blah, blah.

Leave them the fuck alone.

A Little Hopium From An Unlikely Source

I would not characterize Brian Beutler as a super optimistic fellow and certainly not one to blow smoke about the Democrats. But in today’s newsletter he shares a little bit of good news which, coming from him, is reassuring.

The short version is that over the past couple weeks President Biden has caught up with Donald Trump, as depicted in the Economist’s polling average above.  

Now that’s not the whole story, or even an entirely good story, as I’ll detail momentarily. But deeper in the tea leaves, most recent developments are also pretty favorable to Biden and (thus) bad for Trump. 

Consistent with the head-to-head polls, Biden’s approval ratings have ticked up (or, for copium abstainers, his disapproval rating has ticked down) while Trump, who has been more popular of late than in many years, has seen his numbers fall.

But to me, the best case for optimism lies outside the realm of survey data. It’s better for Biden to be slightly ahead than slightly behind, but what he needs more than anything is upside potential to open a large lead. And as mainstream-media fixation on his age has faded, his real long-run advantages have become clearer.

Since American elections are zero-sum, you can spot Biden’s upside potential in two buckets. Anything that’s good news for Biden is good news for Biden (QED); but anything that’s bad news for Trump is also good news for Biden.

There’s good news for Biden in both buckets. 

-The economy is bullish and charging, with growth driven by productivity while inflation falls—a recipe for election-year interest-rate cuts, which should keep the economy humming and improve economic sentiment. 

-Because this boom really is, to a large extent, a product of Biden’s economic policies, it feeds dream retail-politics coups like this: announcing an $8.5 billion grant to build an Intel microchip plant in Arizona. 

-Relatedly, we’ve reached the point where “are you better off than you were four years ago” comparisons are insanely favorable to Biden. Congratulations, you’ve made it four years since Trump lied about and (thus) exacerbated the COVID-19 pandemic.

-Biden and Democratic leaders have detached themselves from Bibi Netanyahu, even making clear they believe Israelis should oust him. 

-He and the party are on sound financial footing.

The good news for Biden in Trump’s misfortune is much less theoretical. 

-Trump’s small-dollar fundraising numbers suck.

-His desperation for cash is driving him into the arms of Republican billionaires who expect him to deliver (and thus not pretend to oppose) toxically unpopular policies. 

-The money he and the RNC raise will cover Trump’s legal and campaign bills before the party as a whole gets a cut, driving dissension and deprivation through his already fractured party.Share Off Message

-Barring an act of unexpected mercy, he’s also about to either lose tons of marquee properties—a consequence of committing serial financial fraud—or receive some kind of politically toxic bailout. 

-To the extent he’s campaigning at all, rather than simply trying to dodge accountability under the law, Trump’s campaigning on insurrection, and inviting known crooks back into his inner circle.

-Relatedly, a critical number of Republican and independent voters still don’t want Trump to be the GOP nominee, including the almost 20 percent of Arizona GOP primary voters who cast ballots for Nikki Haley, a candidate who suspended her campaign weeks ago. 

-This is all before factoring in the electoral consequences Trump will face for raping E. Jean Carroll, overturning Roe v. Wade, losing the endorsements of his former vice president, former national security adviser, and former chief of staff among others, and possibly facing multiple felony convictions before election day.

There’s plenty to quibble with here. I personally wish Biden et al would simply assert that people are better off than they were four years ago instead of relying on wry implication. We in the media have become so focused on whether Trump will secure a bailout that we’ve lost sight of the outrageous fraud he actually committed—something voters deserve to know more about. But if a campaign is like a construction project, Biden’s got real brick and mortar, while Trump’s got a water-warped set of Jenga blocks.

He goes on to lay out some of the obstacles as well but I’ll let you subscribe to his great newsletter to see them. He reminds us that Biden has to win the popular vote by a big margin just to eke out a close win in the electoral college (once again putting the lie to the idea that our vaunted democracy is all that democratic.) And he warns about dirty tricks, Russian interference, Elon Musk and the whole array of corrupt actors who are aligned with Trump. It’s a lot. But around the political sphere the upside is what’s starting to get traction and I think it’s important to be aware of that too.

Trump’s J6 Martyrs

He’s following the Goebbels playbook to the T

You get the feeling that among the jaded beltway establishment there is a belief that the horrified reaction against Trump’s Hitler analogies is just a bit overwrought. Sure it’s discussed and analysed but there’s a perfunctory vibe about it that makes it seem as if it’s just another of those “Trump says the darnedest stuff” things. And sure, the idea that he’s been studying Hitler’s speeches because he once had a book of them is a stretch (and even though he has said that Hitler “did some good things”) because Trump doesn’t study anything. But he is an instinctive autocrat and he’s got a few people around him who do understand the power of fascist imagery. Contrary to popular belief, much of the most outrageous rhetoric he spews at his rallies isn’t off the cuff. It’s scripted.

So now we’ve all absorbed the comments about immigrants “poisoning our country” and calling his political opponents “vermin.” He said that if he doesn’t win there will be a bloodbath and everyone responded that it was taken out of context, as if he doesn’t promise political violence if he loses (or is convicted of one of his many crimes) all the time.

But if there’s one thing that absolutely validates the concerns of many of us and demonstrates that this isn’t just about Trump’s usual verbal incontinence—his glorification of the January 6th rioters as patriots. He now opens every rally with a recording of the so-called “January 6th choir” — a group of inmates held in the DC jail on felony charges related to the insurrection — singing the National Anthem with a voice over by Trump himself. (They actually released it as a recording and a bunch of deluded cultists bought it.)

He used this version of the anthem at his very first rally in this cycle, which he held in Waco Texas, the site of one of the right’s most infamous clashes with the government, the Branch Davidian standoff back in 1993 (which I wrote about last year.) They weren’t subtle about the message. They played footage of the insurrection on the big screens behind Trump with the discordant strains of the inmate choir over it while everyone held their hands over their hearts. This was not a coincidence. They understood the symbolism of choosing that location to proclaim the January 6th criminals to be martyrs to the MAGA cause.

Simply put, this is how it’s done. Fascism, that is.

Lately he’s taken to saluting when they play the J6 version of the Star Spangled Banner rather than putting his hand over his heart in the usual manner. And at a recent rally in Ohio, this absurd ritual was introduced by what sounded like a WWE announcer bellowing “Ladies and gentlemen, please rise for the horribly and unfairly treated Jan. 6 hostages.” I’m only surprised the man didn’t yell, “let’s get ready to ruuumble!” as Trump strutted around the stage. ‘

Trump has called for their release on numerous occasions, and if he wins the election, he said he’s committed to pardoning them on his first day in office. This rank political bastardization of the Star Spangled Banner by exalting criminals who beat police officers and sacked the US Capitol, from the man who ranted endlessly about NFL players taking a knee during the National Anthem may be the most audacious troll ever attempted.

But it’s more than just another Trump troll. By creating martyrs out of insurrectionists Trump is deploying a very potent propaganda tool, one that was perfected by yes, Adolph Hitler during his rise to power exactly a hundred years ago.

In 1923, Hitler led a violent uprising which we all know as the Munich beer hall putsch. Four cops were killed along with 16 of Hitler’s followers, known as “brownshirts’ (not to be confused with Mussolini’s “blackshirts” — or Trump’s “red hats.”) For years they were held up as martyrs to the Nazi cause just as Trump is now selling the January 6th criminals as “hostages” (which he only started to do after October 7th in the most grotesque inversion of Nazi propaganda ever.)

But the most famous Nazi martyr, the Ashli Babbit of his day if you will, was a young anti-communist brownshirt by the name of Horst Wessel who was a known violent brawler in the pitched street battles between left and right during those days. He was shot by a couple of his Communist enemies and died later in the hospital of blood poisoning. Joseph Goebbels, Hitler’s Stephen Miller/Steve Bannon, made him famous by filming his PR stunt funeral march and distributing it all over the country. He became a household name through the “The Horst Wessel song”, which became an alternate German National Anthem. Goebbels even got the churches to play it because young Horst was such a good Christian and a downright great Nazi.

Those of you who’ve seen Leni Riefenstahl’s movie about Hitler’s biggest rally at Nuremberg, “Triumph of the Will” will recognize it as the song they all sing at the ecstatic climax. Trump’s rallies aren’t as elegantly staged nor are the crowds as big. (Don’t tell him that.) But the intention is the same. He may not have actually read that book of Hitler speeches but he didn’t need to. He’s a natural.

Salon

Trump: “Blame It On Me, Please”

What we’ve got here is failure to legislate

“Morning Joe” Scarborough today gave Donald “91 Counts” Trump exactly what he asked for: blame for chaos at the southern border. Trump demanded Republicans in Congress kill the bipartisan border bill. He owns this morning’s New York Post headline.

Remember (Washington Post, January 28):

Republican front-runner Donald Trump said he wants to be held responsible for blocking a bipartisan border security billin the works in the Senateas President Biden seeks emergency authority to rein in a record surge of unauthorized border crossings.

Trump told a Las Vegas rally, “I’ll fight it all the way. A lot of the senators are trying to say, respectfully, they’re blaming it on me. I say, that’s okay. Please blame it on me. Please.”

American Bridge issued this video and statement on February 5:

As president, Trump publicly urged Congress to send him a comprehensive, bipartisan bill to address immigration reform and border security. Now, during a presidential election year, Trump is leading MAGA Republicans in Congress to kill any attempt at addressing immigration reform.  

Still image from Cool Hand Luke (1967).

What we’ve got here is failure to legislate.

Meanwhile, the Freedom Caucus is eating their own:

The right-wing House Freedom Caucus voted to oust Rep. Ken Buck (R-Colo.) on Tuesday, just days before he’s set to leave Congress, several sources confirmed to Axios.

Why it matters: It’s the second time this congressional session the group has kicked out a member who diverged from them ideologically — the first being Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene (R-Ga.) last summer.

  • Buck’s removal was first reported by The Hill.

They’re still at it.

As Dan Pfeiffer reminds readers in his “The Case for 2024 Optimism” this morning, “Anything that’s good news for Biden is good news for Biden (QED); but anything that’s bad news for Trump is also good news for Biden.”

Don’t let Republicans spin border chaos as Biden’s doing. Hang it around their necks.

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Bleeding More Than Money

We are the ones we’ve been waiting for

“The man is mentally unstable,” I told my parents over dinner at their kitchen table in 2016. I could not bring myself to believe that Americans were crazy enough to elect a president as unfit as Donald Trump so obviously was. But H.L. Mencken was right a hundred years ago. I don’t wish to make that mistake again.

Nonetheless, Republican primary results and the drip-drip of bad legal and financial news for Trump and his 2024 campaign seems to indicate he is losing support. Perhaps it is Trump fatigue. Perhaps his small-donor base is tapped out; his fundraising is ebbing. Perhaps Earth 1 is finally breaking through to the least-committed members of the cult.

Trump lately is alternately begging for money and boasting that he doesn’t need any. The Biden-Harris campaign and the DNC are lapping Trump and Team MAGA. If fundraising is a measure of support, Trump’s is slowly sinking. Then again, is still costs nothing to cast a vote, and MAGA minions are busily plotting to steal the fall election. With that caveat….

“It makes me wonder about all those stories telling us how unenthusiastic Democrats are about Biden’s reelection,” writes Eugene Robinson. “I’m starting to think that maybe — hear me out — we should pay less attention to what people say and more to what they actually do.”

The Biden campaign can be excused for a bit of chest-thumping. “If Donald Trump put up these kinds of numbers on ‘The Apprentice,’” communications director Michael Tyler said in a statement, “he’d fire himself.”

At the moment, of course, campaign cash might be the least of Trump’s money concerns. His lawyers told a New York court this week that the former president has been unable to secure a bond that would give him time to appeal a $454 million judgment against him and his company for fraud.

Trump approached more than 30 companies about underwriting the bond, his lawyers said, but all refused to accept real estate as collateral — and real estate is the source of most of Trump’s wealth. The insurance firm Chubb did underwrite a $91 million bond for Trump to appeal a separate civil judgment (for defaming writer E. Jean Carroll) but decided to steer clear of the fraud case.

New York Attorney General Letitia James could theoretically begin seizing Trump’s assets as soon as next week if he is unable to secure and post a bond. It would surely be galling for Trump to lose his gaudy triplex apartment in Manhattan’s Trump Tower, where he famously descended the escalator in 2015 to announce he was running for president.

Declaring bankruptcy is the one remedy guaranteed to keep the wolf away from Trump’s lavishly gilded door, but he has reportedly ruled it out. That would likely give him years of breathing room on the massive fines, which Trump should know given his past: He has used bankruptcy six times largely to get out from under his foolish and ruinous foray into the casino business in Atlantic City.

Even so, former federal and state prosecutor Elie Honig writes at New York Magazine that the chances of Trump going to trial before the election on any of his pending cases are sinking too. He gives the Manhattan District Attorney’s hush money case a 70 percent chance of going to trial. The other three? Twenty percent or less.

If you are expecting some deus ex machina to end Trump’s reign of error, don’t kid yourself. Pay less attention to what people say and more to what you are actually doing to end it.

We are the ones we’ve been waiting for to save the republic.

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It’s A Cult

And a very, very lame one

What did I just watch? A Real Housewife of Mar-a-Lago singing some operatic version of MAGA stupidity? Hookay…

Trump “Won” Another Golf Club Championship

Lol

Per Newsweek: Trump, the presumed 2024 GOP presidential nominee, won the Club Championship and the Senior Club Championship at Trump Golf Palm Beach. This means he has also won his third title of the season, following his Super Senior Championship glory earlier this year.

The 77-year-old took to Truth Social and Instagram to share the news, writing: “A great honor to have won both the Club Championship and the Senior Club Championship this week at Trump International!” 

I wrote this a few years back about Trump’s “championships.” The man never, ever fails to prove himself a cheater and a liar. No matter what:

Trump is the most famous and powerful man on earth. He has tens of millions of people who worship him like a god. But it’s not enough. It’s never enough. 

Donald Trump takes great pride in his golf game. Shinzo Abeand Tiger Woods and countless others can tell you about that. He once tweeted “I don’t cheat at golf” but added that Samuel L. Jackson does and “with his game he has no choice.” The president’s official USGA handicap index is listed as 2.8, though he seldom posts scores. Any visitor to the ornate men’s locker room at his club here, Trump International Golf Club, can see small rectangular brass plaques on his locker, recognizing him as the 1999, 2001 and 2009 club champion, and the 2012 and 2013 senior champion.

And now there’s a new plaque on his locker, screwed into its stained wood with two small Phillips head screws, to commemorate his latest title. It reads:

2018 MEN’S CLUB CHAMPION


President Trump’s locker at Trump International in West Palm Beach, Fla.

Yes, Trump was president of the United States for all of 2018.

Yes, Trump turned 72 last year, which would be an impressive age to win even a senior club championship.

But there the plaque is, identifying Trump as the reigning club champion at his spectacular Trump International course.

His most recent win brings Trump’s club-championship haul — all won at clubs bearing his name — to an even 20. That includes senior and super-senior titles, too.

But to be precise about it, the plaque on his locker is two letters short of accurate. Trump is not actually the men’s champion at the club. He’s the co-champion. While that distinction is not found on his locker, it is made elsewhere at the club.

As for Trump’s path to No. 20, it was not conventional.

Originally, a man named Ted Virtue, the 58-year-old CEO of a New York investment firm called MidOcean Partners, had the 2018 club championship title all to himself.
[…]
After Virtue won the championship, Trump ran into him at the club, according to multiple sources who recounted the story. Having some fun with him, Trump said something like, “The only reason you won is because I couldn’t play.” The president cited the demands of his job, although he was able to make 20 visits to the club in 2018, according to trumpgolfcount.com. Trump then proposed a nine-hole challenge match to Virtue, winner-takes-the-title.

You could say there wasn’t much in it for Virtue, and you could argue that this is not how these matters are typically, if ever, settled. But consider these factors:

1. Trump owns the course;

2. Trump is the president of the United States;

3. Trump is not your typical golfer.

Virtue said yes.

They played match play (each hole as its own contest) and straight up (no shots were given). As in nearly all amateur golf rounds, no rules official was on hand. Golf’s tradition calls for players to police themselves and, if necessary, one another.

Trump won.

In victory a magnanimous Trump said to Virtue something like, “This isn’t fair — we’ll be co-champions.”

He is such a disturbed individual.