Or something
I’m not sure this says what they think it says???
You can imagine that even if Russian people are not fully in support of the war that they hate the fact that these companies have pulled out of the country. People like their McDonalds. But it’s also probably the case that a whole lot of Russians are feeling the pull of nationalism.
Polling is unreliable in a repressive state so take this with a grain of salt, but I thought it was interesting:
Denis Volkov has been working to find out. He’s the director of the Levada Center, an independent polling firm in Russia.
As Morning Edition‘s Steve Inskeep notes, doing anything independently in Russia is tricky (the government has branded the firm a foreign agent), as is conducting polls on this topic — since the government prohibits calling the invasion a war, and dissenters are arrested.
The Levada Center stays within those parameters by asking whether people support the actions of the Russian military.
Volkov found that some 80% of respondents do support the military, but that group is by no means a monolith. He says about 50% have “definite support” without any qualms, but the other 30% have support with reservations. And he sees shock and anxiety across the entire group.
Volkov told Inskeep that he’s aware of the pitfalls with these polls, but they may still have valuable information to teach us.
“We must understand that polls show us not what people really think or really believe, but what they want to share,” he says.
Volkov says these polls are conducted face-to-face, and people are assured of anonymity. Still, he notes, the survey results reveal at least as much about what people are willing to say in public than about how they truly feel.
“We are measuring public attitudes that, more or less, coincide with how people will behave in public,” he adds.
He says the firm asks about peoples’ feelings, and is seeing that both groups — those who support and oppose the military’s actions — are anxious and afraid. He contrasts this to public opinion surrounding the annexation of Crimea in 2014, recalling that there were positive feelings and even “euphoria” at the time.
“This time, you do not see this euphoria,” Volkov says. “It’s rather that people understand that this is serious, that there is fighting. But at the same time, many say that they’re supporting and some people even say that they should support, because it’s international conflict and they have to support their government.”
Volkov adds that public opinion matters, even though the Russian government isn’t taking the public’s pulse in order to plan its next moves. He says officials are instead monitoring the situation to make sure that it’s “under control.”
And as Russia’s war in Ukraine continues, the U.S. and other Western allies are hitting it with more economic sanctions.
One-quarter of respondents say they already feel the effect of those sanctions, according to Volkov. People who are from disadvantaged groups are suffering the most, he adds, because they don’t have the resources to adapt.
On the other hand, Volkov says that people in big cities who are well-off and well-connected do have the resources, but are suffering “morally.”
By that, he means that those who were most connected to the outside world might have been less inclined to support Putin’s military operation, but now find themselves cut off from the West. That means they’re on conflicting sides — and feel the shunning of Russia most of all.
I think his insight that people say what they think they should say in public would be a wise thing for all pollsters and especially focus groups to keep in mind. I don’t think that phenomenon is confined to Russia.